See Search Box
lower down this column for searches of Finfacts news pages. Where there may be
the odd special character missing from an older page, it's a problem that
developed when Interactive Tools upgraded to a new content management system.
Finfacts is Ireland's leading business information site and
you are in its business news section.
The US consumer price index last
month rose by a seasonally adjusted 0.5% from February as gasoline and food
costs increased, the Labor Department said. On an annual basis, prices were up
2.7% in March, the highest level since December 2009.
However, core inflation, which excludes energy and food prices that are viewed
as volatile, rose by only 0.1% in March from February. The annual underlying
inflation rate was at 1.2% last month, within the Fed's comfort zone of just
under 2.0% and viewed as giving the central bank scope to delay monetary
Prof. Peter Morici of the
University of Maryland commented: Inflation Moves to Center Stage, Highlights
Fed and G20 Impotence: "Today, the Labor Department
reported consumer prices were up 0.5% in March, driven by 3.5 and 0.8% jumps in
energy and food prices.
This is the fourth straight month of large gains in consumer prices. While food
and energy prices may be volatile, international conditions indicate commodity
prices will continue surging, and the Fed’s emphasis on core inflation is
With inflation running at 6% a year, it will be tough for the Federal Reserve to
deny inflation and continue quantitative easing and low interest rates
generally. Similarly, with unemployment likely to remain above 8% for the
balance of the year, the Fed will find it tough to raise interest rates too
The US economy is headed for stagflation thanks to failed banking and
international economic policies that lie largely beyond the Fed’s control.
At the heart of the Great Recession and now stagflation are two
dysfunctions—problems in US banking, and China’s currency policy and Germany’s
privileged position in the EU. For different reasons, but with the same effect,
China and Germany enjoy undervalued currencies and protected domestic markets,
and are creating imbalances in demand for goods, services and workers globally.
Recent banking reforms have not changed how Wall Street does business—the
emphasis is still on trading instead of making sound loans. Whereas before the
recession banks made reckless loans—based on the shady practice of pushing
loan-backed securities on unwitting investors—now they are starving small and
medium-sized businesses for the credit needed to create jobs.
Also, Beijing subsidizes imports of oil and other commodities with the dollars
it obtains selling yuan to keep its value low. In the case of oil, it gives to
refineries dollars it obtains selling yuan to offset the high price of imported
oil. That pushes up oil and other commodity prices globally. Simply, China’s
currency policy is a global inflation machine.
In combination, China’s currency policy starves its trading partners of demand
for goods, services and workers with subsidized exports of consumer goods and
pushes up inflation in those economies by elevating oil and other commodity
prices. That makes China’s currency policy a global stagflation machine too.
This week the G20 Finance Ministers, representing the largest developed and
developing countries, are meeting in Washington. And again China and Germany
block progress. Instead, they prefer to lecture other countries about the genius
of their policies, when those policies are nothing more than beggar thy neighbor
protectionism, exporting unemployment and fiscal crisis to their trading
The Obama Administration needs to give up on failed multilateral groups and lead
concerted action with a few other major nations in responding directly, or as
necessarily, act unilaterally to respond to Chinese and German protectionism. If
not, Americans can look forward to high unemployment, damaging inflation,
falling real incomes, and continuing economic woes."
Underlying Inflation Tame: US consumer prices kept rising in March. CNBC's Steve Liesman & Rick Santelli provide instant analysis for what this means for markets now: