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Irish Live Register 2011: In January 2011 there were 442,677
people signing on the Live Register. The Central Statistics
Office (CSO) said today that while the number of people on the Live Register did
increase over the month the level of increase (+5,598) was less than the
increase recorded in the month to January in the previous 3 years. As a result,
on a seasonally adjusted basis there was a monthly decrease of 6,900 on the Live
Register in January 2011. This follows a minor increase in December 2010 which
had been the first month to record a seasonally adjusted increase since August
2010. The number of non-nationals dipped 2,868 to 78,527, in the month.
The CSO said there was an increase of 5,741 (+1.3%) over the
year and it compares with an increase of 13,484 (+3.2%) in the year to December
2010 and an increase of 110,664 (+33.9%) in the year to January 2010. The
January 2011 figures were the lowest for January in 3 years.
January of 2009 represented
the spike in claimant increases in any month, with a record 33,000, or 11.3%,
rise - - 26,700 additions in February, 20,000 in March; 15,800 in April;
13,500 in May; 11,400 in June; 10,500 in July; 5,400 in August and 600 in
The total fell
3,000 in October; rose 900 in November and another 3,300 were added in December,
to bring the end 2009 total to 426,700. The total fell by 500 in April 2010 and
rose to a record 439,100 in May.
Other features include:
There was a monthly
decrease of 6,400 males and 600 females in the seasonally adjusted series in
January. Since the seasonally adjusted series peaked in August 2010 the
decrease has been predominantly male, while females have remained relatively
On an unadjusted basis
the number of males on the Live Register has risen only marginally since
January 2010 (+0.1%) while the number of females has increased by 3.7%. The
situation one year previously i.e. the year to January 2010, showed far more
significant increases for both males (+32.3%) and females (+37.2%).
The number casual and
part-time workers on the Live Register increased over the year by 6,369
(+8.3%) to 83,232.
unemployment rate in January was 13.4%, down from 13.6% in December. This
compares with 13.6% in the third quarter of 2010, the latest seasonally
adjusted unemployment rate from the Quarterly National Household Survey and
an annual average of 13.3% for 2010.
The Live Register is not designed to measure unemployment.
The CSO says it includes part-time workers (those who work up to
three days a week), seasonal and casual workers entitled to Jobseekers Benefit
or Allowance. Unemployment is measured by the Quarterly National Household
Survey and the latest seasonally adjusted figure, for July to September 2010, is
288,500 persons unemployed.
Live Register schemes analysis
In January there were 125,696 Jobseekers Benefit (JB) claimants
on the Live Register an annual decrease of 42,152 (-25.1%). On an annual basis
the number of JB claimants has been falling since February 2010. The total
number of JB claimants has fallen by 71,292 or 36.2% since a peak of 196,988
recorded in July 2009.
The number of Jobseekers Allowance (JA) applicants in January
was 289,583 an increase of 40,447 over the year (16.2%). The level of annual
increase in the number of JA applications has been slowing, both in nominal and
proportional terms since the second half of 2009 when increases were over
The number of “Other Registrants” on the Live Register
increased by 7,446 (+37.3%) in the year to January 2011. The increase in JA
applicants and “Other Registrants” combined more than offset the fall in JB
claimants yielding the overall increase in the Live Register over the year.
For both males and females the fall in the number JB claimants
was offset by an increase of a similar order of magnitude in the number of JA
applicants. However a slight difference can be seen between persons aged under
25 compared with those aged 25 or over. Among persons aged under 25 the decrease
in JB claimants (-5,776) was greater than the increase in JA claimants (+2,045)
meaning the total number of people on the Live Register aged under 25 fell by
nearly 3,700 over the year. However, for persons aged 25 or over the increase in
JA applicants and “Other Registrants” more than offset the decrease in JB
claimants meaning the total number of persons aged 25 or over on the Live
Register increased by 9,414 (+2.7%) over the year.
The CSO said that while the net change in the Live Register over
the month was 5,598 there were 46,115 new registrants on the Live Register in
January which compares with 42,615 in the previous month. New registrants
consisted of 24,408 JB claims (52.9%), 19,527 JA applications (42.3%) and 2,180
other registrants (4.7%). On average 6,719 male and 4,810 female new registrants
joined the Live Register each week in January. By comparison, in January 2010,
7,871 male and 4,514 female new registrants joined the Live Register each week.
The difference between the net change in the Live Register and the number of new
claimants is account for by closed claims and the movement of people between
Live Register regional analysis
Annual increases in the Live Register were recorded in 6 of the
8 NUTS 3 regions. The largest percentage increase was in the Midland region
(+4.5%), followed by the Mid-East region (+3.4%). Up to December 2010 there had
been annual increases recorded for all 8 regions.
Live Register occupational groups
Craft and related (26.1%) was the largest occupational group on
the Live Register in January, followed by Plant and machine operatives (16.0%).
In January 2010 Craft and related (27.4%) and Plant and machine operatives
(16.1%) were also the largest occupational groups.
In the year to January 2011 four occupational groups showed Live
Register increases. The largest percentage increase was in the Other occupation
group (+9.8%), while the next largest increases were in the Personal and
protective service (+7.1%) and Sales (+5.9%) groups. The largest percentage
decrease was in the Managers and administrators group (-6.3%).
Live Register duration of continuous registration
In January 282,123 (63.7%) of all claimants on the Live Register
were short term claimants. The comparable figure for January 2010 was 333,979
(76.4%). The annual fall of 51,856 in the number of short-term claimants
consisted of a decrease of 41,824 in the number of male short term claimants and
a decrease of 10,032 in female short term claimants.
In the year to January 2011 the number of long term male
claimants increased by 42,179 (+55.4%), while the comparable increase for
females was 15,418 (+57.4%).
Live Register casual and part-time workers
There were 83,232 casual and part-time workers on the Live
Register in January, which represents 18.8% of the total Live Register. This
compares with 17.6% one year earlier when there were 76,863 casual and part-time
workers on the Live Register.
In the year to January 2011 the number of casual and part-time
workers increased by 6,369 (+8.3%), with the number of males increasing by 3,374
(+8.3%) and the number of females increasing by 2,995 (+8.3%).
Live Register nationality groupings
In January Irish Nationals accounted for 82.3% (364,150) of the
number of persons on the Live Register. Of the 78,527 non-Irish nationals, the
largest constituent group on the Live Register continued to be nationals from
the EU15 to EU27 States (43,619), followed by the UK (18,078).
In the year to January 2011 the number of Irish nationals on the
Live Register increased by 8,609 (+2.4%), while the number of non-Irish
nationals decreased by 2,868 (-3.5%).
Commenting on the CSO figures, IBEC
senior economist Reetta Suonperä said: “The January
reduction in Live Register claimants of 6,900 is the biggest drop we have seen
so far. Since September, the number of claimants has fallen on average by almost
2,200 in each month.
“Following a change to the seasonal adjustment methodology, the December
increase of 5,200 was revised down to just 400. This is more reflective of the
underlying trend in the labour market. In any case we had expected a large
portion of the increase to be reversed in January, since it was caused by a
slowdown in the numbers leaving the Live Register, not an increase in new
“Crucially, the number of new claimants to the Live Register was about 25% less
than in January 2010. Separate data from the Department of Enterprise show that
redundancies in January were down 26% year-on-year, a further indication that
the flow of job losses is slowing. Although some sectors such as construction
will continue to lose jobs during 2011, overall the situation in the labour
market is stabilising and unemployment is now nearing its peak,”