|Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan photographed at Government Buildings with a copy of Budget 2011, Dec 07, 2010 |
Exchequer deficit of €18.74bn was recorded in 2010. This compares to an
Exchequer deficit of €24.64bn in 2009. Interest on the National Debt in 2010, at
€4.8bn was over €1.6bn higher than in 2009
published in December 2009, estimated the Exchequer deficit in 2010 at €18,78bn.
The actual Exchequer deficit in 2010 was €18,74bn, some €35m better than
planned. The 2010 outturn of €18,74bn compares to €24,64bn and the Department of
Finance says the fall points to an improvement in the Exchequer position.
The large year-on-year fall in the Exchequer deficit was expected and is
primarily attributable to the non-reoccurrence in 2010 of two large payments in
2009 (i) a €4bn capital injection into Anglo Irish Bank, and (ii) a €3bn payment
to the National Pensions Reserve Fund (NPRF) as part of the bank
Non-tax revenue was up €1.9b in 2010 due to fees from the Bank Guarantee Schemes
and increased Central Bank surplus income.
The cost of servicing the National Debt in 2010, at €4.8bn was over €1.6bn
higher than in 2009.
tax receipts were collected in 2010. This was €703m or 2.3% above the target set
in Budget 2010.
The year-on-year rate of decline in tax revenues in 2010 was 3.9%. By contrast,
in 2008 it was 14% and in 2009 it was 19%.
A significant corporation tax surplus of €764m combined with smaller surpluses
in excise duties, customs, VAT and capital gains tax more than offset a €254m
shortfall in income tax and minor shortfalls in stamp duty and capital
voted expenditure in 2010 at €46.43bn, was €729m or 1.5% below the 2009 level.
Current expenditure, at €40.52bn was €261m or 0.6% up year-on-year.
Capital expenditure, at €5.92bn in 2010 was €990m or 14.3% below the 2009 level.
It was €82m or 1.4% below target.
End Year Exchequer Statement
Analysis of End Year Tax Receipts
Analysis of End Year Tax Receipts
Commenting on the end-2010 Exchequer Returns the Minister for finance Brian
Lenihan said: “The Exchequer deficit for 2010, at €18.7bn, is in line
with the Budget 2010 target set in December 2009 and confirms that our public
finances have stabilised.
Tax receipts in 2010, at €31¾bn were some €700m above the Budget 2010 target
with the surplus primarily driven by a solid performance from corporation tax.
It is to be welcomed that three of our 'big four' tax-heads – VAT, excise duties
and corporation tax – performed above expectations. While income tax receipts
fell just over 2% short of their target, it is encouraging that the weakness
evident earlier in the year did not develop further, and that income tax
receipts rallied somewhat in the latter months of the year.
On the spending side, overall net voted expenditure at €46.4bn was over €700m
below the level recorded in 2009, reflecting the ongoing tight control of public
spending. While day-to-day spending was marginally ahead of target in the year,
this is due to a shortfall in Departmental receipts rather than overruns in
Over €5.9bn was spent on capital projects in 2010, a significant amount given
the more limited resources now available. Capital spending was managed within
the limits set out at the beginning of 2010.
The Exchequer Returns for 2010 confirm my analysis that the public finances have
stabilised. These figures in tandem with the encouraging economic data for the
third quarter of 2010, means we enter 2011 on the road to economic recovery and
that the targets set in Budget 2011 are achievable.
The Government has consistently identified export-led growth as the strategy
that will return this economy to growth and generate jobs. This strategy is
working thanks to the improvement of competitiveness, and the flexibility and
adaptability of the Irish economy. Exports in 2010 were at an all time high and
represented growth of 6.2% on 2009. This strong performance was particularly
positive in the manufacturing and agri-food sectors.
As a State, we continue to borrow more than is sustainable but provided we
continue to address this and other related issues on the basis of the National
Recovery Plan, there are real grounds for optimism about the Irish economy ”
Robbie Kelleher of Davy Research
Tax receipts are over €200m
better than estimated at Budget time
The release of Exchequer Returns
for the full year 2010 show that tax receipts were over €200m better than
estimated on Budget day in early December. The bulk of the excess returns
come in higher receipts from VAT, excise and corporation tax. The rest of
the tax headings were broadly in line with the December estimates.
This means that tax receipts for
the year were more than €700m better than forecast in Budget 2009.
Corporation taxes and excise duties were €764m and €163m respectively ahead
of the original targets.
performance from excise duties adds to other evidence that consumer spending
may not have been as badly affected by recent financial events as had been
Spending was also better than
Current spending was €440m lower
than estimated on Budget day but was still €231m higher than the original
Having been behind target all
year, capital spending was just €82m short of the original target but was
still down 14% on 2009.
Overall deficit in line with
IBEC chief economist Fergal O'Brien
said: "Tax receipts finished the year some €700m
ahead of expectations - almost entirely due to the strong performance of
corporate tax revenues. Tax revenues from the sector in 2010 were 24% ahead of
forecast and were actually marginally ahead of the 2009 outturn. The only other
tax head meaningfully ahead of target in 2010 was excise but this was partly due
to the excise increases in Budget 2011. A fall in cross border shopping during
the year also contributed to the somewhat better than expected outcome.
The original forecast for the
Exchequer Borrowing Requirement (EBR) was €18,780m. The eventual outcome was
€35m below this.
This gives increased confidence
that the targets in the four-year plan are achievable – a key condition of
any return of confidence in Ireland by financial markets.
"Income tax remains the main area of weakness - it was €250m below target and
almost 5% down on the 2009 outturn. Its performance improved somewhat in the
latter months of the year, however, and in December it was actually €100m ahead
of forecast for the month. Coupled with fairly positive Live Register numbers in
recent months this provides a source for optimism for 2011," concluded