See Search Box
lower down this column for searches of Finfacts news pages. Where there may be
the odd special character missing from an older page, it's a problem that
developed when Interactive Tools upgraded to a new content management system.
Welcome
Finfacts is Ireland's leading business information site and
you are in its business news section.
Markets News Monday: Bank for International Settlements says cross-border bank lending in Q1 2010 rose for the first time since the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers
By Finfacts Team
Sep 6, 2010 - 10:18:37 AM
The Basel-based Bank for International Settlements, known as the central bank
for central banks, reported on Sunday that cross-border lending by banks rose in
the first quarter of this year for the first time since a contraction in the
fourth quarter of 2008, following the collapse of the US investment bank Lehman
Brothers. Global banks boosted lending outside their national borders by $700bn, or
2.1%, to $33.4trn the first quarter of this year, according to the
BIS
quarterly review.
The counterparty residence breakdown produces a more mixed
picture. International claims on residents of the UK expanded by $217bn or 3.5%
for the first time since the first quarter of 2008. Reporting banks also
increased their claims on US residents by $120bn or 2.4%. By contrast, banks
decreased their claims on residents of Japan by $9bn or 1.0% for the third
quarter in a row. Furthermore, claims on residents of the Eurozone contracted by
$21bn or0.2%, despite the fact that euro-denominated claims on the region
increased by $72 billion or 0.9%.
Data for Ireland includes banks in Dublin's offshore financial centre (IFSC)
which paints a darker picture than the reality, as the IFSC banks are units of
foreign banks which are engaged in international business.
The BIS said banks increased the amount of credit they extended to
governments and the private sector in Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain by
4.3%, or $109bn, in the first quarter of 2010 compared with the previous
quarter. The additional credit brought banks’ total exposure to those countries
to $2.6trn.
German and French banks had the most exposure to
debt in the so-called periphery of the Eurozone.
French exposure to Greece was $111.6bn, with
$27bn of that was government debt. The rest was
credit to Greek businesses and individuals,
derivatives contracts or other categories.
German banks’ exposure to Greece amounted to
$51bn, of which $23.1bn was government debt.
US banks hold $41.2bn in debt or other
exposure to Greece, the report said. Only $5.4bn
of that sum was government debt.
German banks had an Irish exposure of
$205.8bn, exceeded only by UK banks, with
$222.4bn. Almost all the German credit to
Ireland was in the private sector, the report
said. This would include Hypo Real Estate’s
subsidiary in Dublin (the former Depfa bank) at
the IFSC.
"The temporary factors
supporting the recovery are fading and will likely reveal a much slower economy;
a realization that is only just taking hold in the markets," Christian
Blaabjerg from Saxo Bank told CNBC Monday:
Economic View: The Budget countdown has started already;
Goodbody chief economist, Dermot O’Leary, comments - - "With last week’s Exchequer returns showing little slippage on targets set for
the public finances in Budget 2010, we can take it that longer terms plans for
reducing the budget deficit remain the same. The target, agreed with the
European Commission sees Ireland returning to a budget deficit of under 3% of
GDP by 2014.
To achieve this, policy changes of amounting to €5.5bn must be
announced in the next four annual Budgets (with €2bn in capital spending cuts
already identified). With Budget 2011 only three months away, discussions on
next year’s package are in full flight. We know already that €1bn of the €3bn
package will come from savings in the capital budget, with the rest to come from
reductions in current spending and/or tax increases. Expenditure reductions are
a preferable means of reducing the deficit, and indeed a lot has been done on
that score already. However, it is becoming increasingly difficult to eke out
savings in this area, especially given the agreement to freeze public sector pay
up to 2014.
Indeed, even outside of pay rates, approximately €2.2bn of
identified savings in last year’s McCarthy report on current spending, out of a
total of €5.3bn have already been implemented. It is not a huge surprise,
therefore, that there is now speculation that increased taxes will form part of
the Budget package to be announced in December. With VAT and corporation tax to
be left unchanged, this means the burden will be placed on Income tax again.
There will no decision on this for some time, but one would hope that further
tax increases will only be considered after all spending options are exhausted.
Given the recent deterioration in Ireland’s perceived credit-worthiness, there
certainly should be no wavering on the targets set out."
As EU finance
ministers gear up to discuss changes to the region's budgets, David Costa, dean
at Robert Kennedy College, speaks to CNBC's Maria Ramos, Chloe Cho & Maithreyi
Seetharaman about what needs to be achieved at the meeting:
Markit PMI indices reinforce picture of moderate European
growth, while US data show a silver lining: Davy economist, Aidan
Corcoran, comments -- "The composite Markit PMI for August
for Europe came in on forecast at 56.1 on Friday, while retail sales
for July disappointed slightly with 0.1% monthly growth. The
services PMI for Germany registered 57.2. In contrast, Ireland's
services PMI fell to 52.9 in August from 55.7. So, no change to the
outlook for Europe, with the periphery continuing to weigh on
expected growth, while the core provides the upside. The German
services figure, while slightly behind forecast, reinforces the view
that the German recovery is not just down to exports, but also
reflects growing domestic demand. A bright spot for the Irish figure
was the increase in new export business to 53.8 from 51.5.
The big news item from Friday was the change in US non-farm
payrolls. Overall employment was broadly flat, falling 54,000 on the
month, ahead of the forecast 105,000 fall. The beat was thanks to a
better-than-expected turnout for private payrolls, which gained
67,000 on the month. S&P futures and ten-year treasury yields rose
on the positive news.
As the market digested the non-farm payrolls data, the US ISM
non-manufacturing index came in at a seven-month low of 51.5 in
August, from 54.3 in July. So, it was two steps forward and one step
back for the US economic outlook — not inconsistent with Bernanke's
view that the pre-requisites for growth next year are in place."
Name Change: Blackrock
International Land plc, the Irish quoted property investment and development
company that is a spin-off from fruits distributor Fyffes, announced today that,
subject to shareholder approval, it proposes to change its name to “Balmoral
International Land Public Limited Company”
The proposed change of name arises following the resolution of a trade mark
dispute between the company and BlackRock Inc, the U.S.-based multi-billion fund
manager. The parties have now agreed to settle the litigation proceedings
between them and a formal settlement agreement has been reached which they have
both irrevocably undertaken to execute once the company’s shareholders have
approved the change of name. The terms of the settlement agreement are to remain
confidential. As a result of the agreement, the company will not suffer any
financial loss in association with the direct costs of the change of name.
An Extraordinary General Meeting will take place on 7 October, 2010 at which the
company will propose a special resolution to change its name to Balmoral
International Land Public Limited Company.
Balmoral in Scotland, is the
location of a royal castle.
Michael
O'Sullivan from Credit Suisse and Basil Kaye, Head of strategy at MET Traders,
joined CNBC to talk about investment strategy in a difficult market:
Asia Markets
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 1.5% Monday, taking its four-day advance
to 4.5%. The benchmark climbed 2.7 percent last week
The Nikkei 225 added
2.05%; China's Shanghai Composite gained 1.43%; Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index
climbed 0.76% and India's Sensex Index
advanced 1.51%.
The BDI closed at 3,005 on Thursday, Dec 31st - - a rise of 289%
in 2009. The index averaged 59% lower in 2009 than a year earlier.
On Thursday, July 15, 2010, the index fell for the 35th
straight session, by 9 points, or 0.537%, to 1,700 points,
Bloomberg report.
On Friday July16th,
the BDI rose 20 points or 1.12% to 1,700 to break the 35-session losing streak;
on Friday last week, the BDI
rose 41 points or 1.45% to 2,876.
The spot price of an oz of gold is trading in New York at
$1,249.30, up $2.70 from Friday's close.
Irish Financials: The weekend roundup; Goodbody
analyst, Eamonn Hughes, comments -- "Commentary over the weekend heightens expectations that we are approaching a
conclusion on the naming of the preferred bidder for AIB’s Polish operations,
which could possibly come in the next day or so (Bloomberg indicates it could be
as early as September 7). Polish media carries a story that BNP has offered the
highest price, with Santander next and PKO the bottom of the 3 (with latter
proposing to bid for a 66% stake and for AIB to place its remaining 4%). AIB is
apparently seeking 210-215PLN per share for the stake, according to the media
reports and we estimate that every 20PLN on the BZW share price is worth about
€250m of capital for AIB. The BZWBK share price has averaged 195PLN for the last
number of months, the figure we use to contribute to our €4.4bn of disposal
gains in our models at AIB.
Elsewhere, press reports over the weekend indicate that Santander is seeking to
hire 6,000 new staff in the UK as it presses ahead with its UK expansion. This
is in addition to the 5,000 staff it just inherited from the branch network it
acquired from its RBS acquisition. The move clearly highlights an appetite to
expand in the UK market and would be supportive of them possibly being
interested in AIB’s UK operations as well."