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The Irish Independent reports that taxpayers will have to pump an estimated €210m a week into
Anglo Irish Bank for the rest of the year to cover losses
that will never be recovered.
The colossal impact on the
economy by the bank was revealed yesterday when Anglo
unveiled record six-month losses of €8.2bn. The startling figures emerged in the bank's half-year
results -- the biggest loss in a six-month period by an
Irish company.
Anglo chiefs warned a further €6bn loss was likely for
the rest of 2010. Chief executive Mike Aynsley accepted that the losses
were "horrendous", but insisted that a very quick wind-down
of the bank would cost another €20bn, on top of the €25bn
already earmarked for the bailout of the bank.
In an interview with the Irish Independent, Mr Aynsley
said the State could not afford an immediate wind-down,
saying it would be "just ripping up money for the Irish
taxpayer".
Despite growing calls for the bank to be shut down,
Finance Minister Brian Lenihan yesterday promised to bring
"certainty and finality" to the issue of Anglo in the coming
weeks -- but he refused to put a final figure on the cost of
bailing it out.
However, the options open to the Government and the EU to
avoid a major hit to the taxpayer are extremely limited. Any
decision to immediately wind down the bank would have huge
implications for our international reputation.
The country is expected to honour all the debts of a
mainstream bank and this may not be possible if Anglo was
shut down immediately.
Yesterday's results also revealed that:
More state cash may be needed, depending on the
discount placed on future loans going to NAMA.
About €600m of loans that went into NAMA are
worthless as they were secured on nothing more than
personal guarantees.
Deposits of €5.5bn have flowed out of the bank in
just six months, with the turnover cut in half.
The bank gave €1.1bn of fresh working capital to
developers to finish off schemes and developments.
It expects to be forced to take over more struggling
businesses, like Arnotts, in Ireland, but also in the
US.
It also emerged that the bank has started an
investigation into potential overcharging of customers on
loans given out over a five-year period.
Interest
The bank may owe up to €50m to the customers affected. An
incorrect interest rate may have been applied to a large
number of loans and customers may be owed between €30m and
€50m by the bank, Mr Aynsley revealed.
The loans in question were given out between the late
1990s and July 2004 and Anglo may now have to pay back
customers who have been affected.
Anglo Irish Bank also revealed yesterday that a key
reason for its opposition to closing the bank down gradually
was that leading developers would simply stop repaying their
loans.
In his chairman's address, Alan Dukes said a gradual
closure plan would "impede'' the bank managing its loan
book.
"Borrowers would see you coming,''
said chief financial
officer Maarten van Eden.
Meanwhile, it is understood loans given to Sean Quinn and
his family are included in the losses announced yesterday.
The Irish Independent also reports that Anglo Irish Bank wrote down €600m worth of loans to zero
when it moved them over to NAMA earlier this year, the
nationalised bank has revealed.
The bank, led until
December 2008 by David Drumm and Sean FitzPatrick, moved
over €10.1bn of loans into NAMA during the first half of the
year.
Most were severely discounted but still had some value.
However, an analysis by the bank shows that €600m worth of
loans were given no value at all and were effectively
transferred to NAMA for free.
In fact more than €2.5bn of loans were discounted by 80pc
or more, such was their poor condition.
The loans that moved to NAMA for free were secured by
nothing more than personal guarantees from customers, it has
emerged.
This means there were no other assets behind the loan,
but the personal wealth of the borrowers.
Many of these borrowers have gone " belly up", explained
chief executive Mike Aynsley, and simply no longer had the
wealth the bank could call in. It is understood the number
of borrowers involved in the €600m loans is relatively
small.
The bank also warned yesterday that if Anglo is ordered
to close over a drawn-out period, borrowers are less likely
to repay their loans. "If you are in a wind-down, that gets
known in the market. A borrower then sees us coming. He is
going to negotiate,'' said Maarten van Eden, the bank's
chief financial officer.
In fact the bank is still providing loans to developers,
chiefly to finish off projects in the property arena, with
€1.1bn advanced during the period. Much of the lending was
previously committed to by the bank.
The Irish Times says the contentious issue of whether bondholders should bear some of
the losses must again arise
Asking Anglo Irish Bank how much the nationalised lender is
going to cost the State is a difficult question to pose –
primarily because it’s not up to the bank.
The bank’s fate – and the cost of that fate – rests with the
European Commission, the National Asset Management Agency, the
state of the property market and the ability of its big
customers to repay loans.
The commission has yet to rule on whether the bank can
proceed with its plan to carve out of the mess a small, viable
bank with the good quality, performing loans.
Nama has purchased €16 billion of its loans, applying a
discount of 55 per cent and 62 per cent on the first two
tranches, but there are a further €19 billion in loans to go.
Any further declines in the property market will determine
whether the State loans agency pays even less for these loans.
And then there is the tricky conundrum of what happens to
Quinn Insurance, which is in administration and whose future
will determine whether its shareholders, Seán Quinn and his
family, can repay their €2.8 billion in loans to the State-owned
bank.
Anglo is busy trying to find a solution involving a
partnership with a trade buyer but there are other bidders for
the company.
All these variables will determine whether the cost of
propping up Anglo will exceed €25 billion – the bank’s current
estimate – or drive it up towards the potential €35 billion
cited by ratings agency Standard Poor’s last week.
Mike Aynsley, Anglo’s chief executive, said that €25 billion
should cover the cost – if the Nama discounts don’t get any
worse, there is no further decline in the commercial property
market and there is no unexpected bombshell concerning Anglo’s
largest clients.
While he declined to comment on Quinn, the family’s loans are
a major problem and could add substantially to the cost of
Anglo.
The meter on the bailout has reached €22.88 billion. Some
€18.88 billion has come through promissory notes, or State IOUs,
which, the Government says, allows it to spread the cost over a
“manageable” 10 to 15 years.
As the Anglo bailout climbs, the contentious debate about
whether the bondholders should bear some of the losses must
again arise.
The bank had €2.4 billion in subordinated debt – funding
provided by investors for a risk premium – outstanding at the
end of June.
Only the dated portion of this debt (€1.7 billion) is covered
under the blanket guarantee ending next month, so these
investors could yet end up taking a hit on Anglo.
Maarten van Eden, chief financial officer at the bank, said
that the subject of outstanding subordinated debt was “on the
table” in Anglo’s restructuring discussions. It is also notable
that Anglo used some of the €10.3 billion in promissory notes it
held at the end of June as collateral to draw funding of €11.6
billion from the Central Bank on a special loan. The bank also
provided some loans as collateral for the funding.
Incredibly, almost a third of the bank’s €87 billion balance
sheet is being funded by the Central Bank and European Central
Bank.
It is no surprise then why Anglo has called on the blanket
guarantee – for short-term corporate deposits at least – to be
extended. It wants to avoid the loss of more deposits,
particularly those provided by companies with which the bank has
long-standing relations.
Anglo lost €4 billion in deposits over the first six months
due to competition, pricing constraints and the maturing of
one-year deposit products sold in 2009.
Aynsley said that uncertainty over the future of the bank was
making life difficult for Anglo.
Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan has said he is in active
discussions with Brussels to bring finality to the problem of
Anglo.
A ruling by the commission on the bank’s plan next month
should help remove some uncertainty, but the Nama and Quinn
issues will linger on for some time yet.
The Irish Times also reports that a Dublin solicitor who confessed that he gambled and lost €2.4
million of client funds on the stock exchange has been suspended
from practising.
Much of the funds were destined for the
Catholic Church in Dublin from a client’s estate, but Ruairi Ó
Ceallaigh, who has a gambling addiction, lost large sums
gambling via contracts for difference and shares, the High Court
heard yesterday.
Ruairi (39) and his younger brother Cormac (37) qualified as
solicitors in 2000 and 2001, and ran the Phibsboro, Dublin, firm
of Seán Ó Ceallaigh Company, founded by their father in 1958,
from 2003.
Cormac alerted the Law Society to problems with the firm’s
accounts after Ruairi told him in late July he used €1.5 million
borrowed from Allied Irish Bank in 2007 to buy shares rather
than clear mortgages.
On August 18th, Ruairi admitted to gambling €2.4 million from
the firm’s client account on stocks and shares. Ruairi, in court
yesterday with his brother and parents, has resigned from the
firm and apologised. Cormac said he had trusted his brother
implicitly. While devastated by his “shameful dishonesty”, the
family was determined to make restitution, with his elderly
parents prepared to sell their home to help clear the deficit.
The total liabilities of the firm, which employs 14 people, may
exceed €4 million.
Mr Justice Peter Charleton made orders suspending Ruairi from
practise, freezing his accounts and those of the firm. He also
directed more information be provided before deciding the firm’s
future.
While Ruairi had admitted fraudulent conduct, there was no
evidence Cormac was anything but a responsible solicitor, the
judge said.
The Irish Examiner reports that Kerry Group boss Stan McCarthy said yesterday a
"multi-billion" euro takeover to enhance the group’s global reach in
food ingredients/ flavours was a definite goal for the company.
Commenting after the group reported pre-tax profits of €162.3m for the
first six months of 2010, ahead of forecasts, he stressed he was not
under any pressure to make such a move in the short term.
"We don’t have to jump the gun. I’m more interested in performance than
rushing a big deal," he said.
At some stage a major multi-billion deal will present itself and "I know
we will be capable of doing it, it’s just a matter of when".
Kerry has also raised its earnings forecast to the "mid-teens" for the
year.
Strong growth in the Asia-Pacific region were a key factor in the
results which saw sales rise 6.7% to €2.4bn over the period.
Trading profit rose by 12.9% to €204m.
Earnings per share was up 19.3% to 80.2 cent on an adjusted basis and
the group has signalled the payment of an 8.8 cent dividend per share, a
14.3% hike on the dividend payout.
Kerry said the improved results reflected "strong profitable growth in
the first half of 2010, and by growing continuing business volumes by
5.8% on a group wide basis."
McCarthy said the Irish market looks to have stabilised.
The consumer foods business remained tough as the economic environment
was affected by the poor state of the economy, which in turn made
consumers more cautious.
In consumer foods overall sales in the group’s core British and Irish
operations fell just short of €900m, recording growth of just 0.5%.
On a like-for-like basis trading profits rose 4.4% to €63m, while the
trading margin was up 0.4% to 7.1%.
The group said continuing brand investment and a focus on value would
continue to deliver results going forward.
In ingredients and flavourings, which account for nearly two-thirds of
total sales, turnover in the first half rose by almost 4% to €1.8
billion, while profits were 9.3% ahead at €164m.
On the domestic front McCarthy said the group has well integrated the
Breeo Foods operations, previously owned by Reox.
The Dairygold brand which came out of that stable performed well, he
said.
Overall the group said the tough two years for the dairy sector were now
behind them.
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