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The US Conference Board
Consumer Confidence Index
which had declined in July, improved moderately in August. The Index now stands
at 53.5 (1985=100), up from 51.0 in July. The Present Situation Index decreased
to 24.9 from 26.4. The Expectations Index increased to 72.5 from 67.5 last
month. The
Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a representative sample
of 5,000 U.S. households. The monthly survey is conducted for the New York based
private sector Conference Board by TNS, which is a global research company. The
cutoff date for August’s preliminary results was August 24th and in New York, the better-than-expected reading of consumer confidence provided some
encouragement to investors bracing for slower economic growth.
Says Lynn Franco, Director of
The Conference Board Consumer Research Center:
“Consumer confidence posted a modest gain in August, the result of an
improvement in consumers’ short-term outlook. Consumers’ assessment of current
conditions, however, was less favorable as employment concerns continue to weigh
heavily on consumers’ attitudes. Expectations about future business and labor
market conditions have brightened somewhat, but overall, consumers remain
apprehensive about the future. All in all, consumers are about as confident
today as they were a year ago (Aug. 2009, 54.5)."
Consumers’ appraisal of current
conditions continued to weaken in August. Those claiming business conditions are
“good” decreased to 8.7% from 8.8%. However, those stating business
conditions are “bad” declined to 41.9% from 43.3%. Consumers’ assessment
of the labor market deteriorated further. Those saying jobs are “hard to get”
increased to 45.7% from 45.1%, while those claiming jobs are “plentiful”
declined to 3.8% from 4.4%.
Consumers’ expectations improved
moderately in August, but overall, they remain pessimistic. Those anticipating
an improvement in business conditions over the next six months increased to
17.0% from 15.8%, while those anticipating conditions will worsen declined to
13.4% from 15.3%.
Consumers were also slightly less
pessimistic about future employment prospects. Those expecting more jobs in the
months ahead increased to 14.6% from 14.2%, while those anticipating fewer jobs
decreased to 19.4% from 20.9%. The proportion of consumers expecting an increase
in their incomes held steady at 10.6%.