See Search Box
lower down this column for searches of Finfacts news pages. Where there may be
the odd special character missing from an older page, it's a problem that
developed when Interactive Tools upgraded to a new content management system.
Welcome
Finfacts is Ireland's leading business information site and
you are in its business news section.
Bernanke says central bankers "alone cannot solve the world's economic problems"; Trichet says postponing cuts in debt risks Japanese-style “lost decade”
By Finfacts Team
Aug 29, 2010 - 3:22:53 AM
The Grand Tetons from Jackson Lake Lodge, Grand Teton National Park, Wyoming. Photo: tripadvisor
Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, suggested on Friday at the
Fed's annual economic
symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that bolder steps maybe taken by the central
bank if the US economy continues to falter. However, he
warned that central bankers "alone
cannot solve the world's economic problems." Meanwhile, European
Central Bank president, Jean-Claude Trichet said postponing cuts in public and
private sector debts would be “very dangerous” and risks a Japanese-style
“lost decade."
Also on Friday, revised
US gross domestic product (GDP) - - the value of all goods and
services produced in the economy - - was reported by
the Bureau of Economic Analysis, to have grown at an annualized rate of 1.6% from April to June, compared with the first
estimate a month ago, of 2.4% after a 3.7%
expansion in the first quarter.
"The pace of recovery in output and employment has
slowed somewhat in recent months," Bernanke said
in his
speech
at Jackson Lake Lodge in Grand Teton National Park, with a
majestic view of the 13,770-foot peak of Mount Teton. The
chairman said that growth
will pick up in 2011, boosted by in part by consumers
who have improved their household finances. However,
he also said the Fed would respond if that
forecast is wrong and growth continues to falter,
and expressed confidence that its efforts would
work.
He
outlined four options the
Fed could deploy to boost the economy. The main one
is the resumption of a program of long-term
securities purchases by the Fed (pumping money into
the economy), which could help to push down long-term interest rates. The Fed
has already cut its short-term interest rates to
almost zero.
The second option would be to lower the interest rate banks get for reserves
they keep with the Fed.
He also said the Fed could promise to keep short-term interest rates low for a
longer period than markets currently expect. A final option, which Bernanke
ruled out, would be to raise
the Fed's inflation target to more than 2%, from its current informal target of
1.5% to 2%.
Bernanke said that there was no
support within the Fed to increase its
medium-term inflation goals above levels
consistent with price stability.
“Such
a step might make sense in a situation
in which a prolonged period of deflation
had greatly weakened the confidence of
the public in the ability of the central
bank to achieve price stability, so that
drastic measures were required to shift
expectations,” Bernanke said. In the
short term, Bernanke said that
preconditions for a pick-up in growth in
2011 “appear to remain in place”.
The buzz in Jackson Hole
following the Fed chairman's speech, with Greg Ip, The Economist; Neil Irwin,
Washington Post and CNBC's Steve Liesman:
In his
speech, Jean-Claude Trichet said some
commentators, had proposed to ignore financial
imbalances “for the time being” to focus only
on the short term, in the hope that more spending
would support growth.
“I believe that adopting this view would be very
dangerous for our economies. There is a very clear
example of the consequences of choosing to live with
the debt: Japan in the 1990s.
Trichet said:
"The debt overhang bears
the ultimate responsibility for slowing down the
economic recovery. Left with the need to reduce
their debts and accumulate more assets, households
have significantly increased their saving rates,
leading to protracted sluggishness in the growth of
private consumption. The key lesson of history is
that sustainable, longer-term growth can only be
ensured once fundamental economic imbalances are
treated."
He considered the
options of inflation or living with debt and said:
"You will not be surprised
to know that I exclude any kind of debt repudiation
in the industrialized countries from these options."
The ECB president
argued that the "lesson
from past history is that dealing with the legacy of
accumulated imbalances is not simply a duty to be
fulfilled after the economic recovery, but rather an
important precondition for sustaining a durable
recovery. The primary
macroeconomic challenge for the next 10 years is to
ensure that they do not turn into another 'lost
decade.'"
He concluded:
"I am convinced that,
together, we will surmount the difficulties our
economies are experiencing and that the G20 strategy
for strong, sustainable and balanced growth will be
successful. The central banks will continue to prove
their capacity to preserve price stability in the
next ten years as they have done in a remarkable way
over the past ten years, despite all difficulties.
That being said, I am equally convinced that the
next ten years will continue to present many new and
unexpected challenges."
Axel Weber, president of the
Deutsche Bundesbank, joined CNBC from Jackson Hole:
Bank of
England deputy governor, Charlie Bean, said in a
presentation that most
discussion of so-called macroprudential tools has
centered on introducing a procyclical capital
buffer. This would require banks to build up extra
reserves during a boom, which could be drawn on in a
bust.
He added that direct constraints could also be
imposed on the terms or availability of credit, for
example via maximum loan-to-value ratios in the
mortgage market. Macroprudential tools aim to make
swings in the financial cycle less extreme and to
limit systemic risk.
Credit or asset-price booms tend to involve an
excessive shift into riskier forms of lending, which
may occur outside the regulated banking system in
the wider credit markets, Bean said.
"In that case, varying margin requirements might
be a more appropriate instrument for dealing with
vulnerabilities building up in the capital markets
more generally," he said.