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News : Global Economy Last Updated: Aug 27, 2010 - 8:48:00 AM


World trade growth slowed in second quarter; World industrial production passed previous peak reached in March 2008
By Finfacts Team
Aug 26, 2010 - 4:31:11 AM

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World trade growth slowed down in the second quarter while world industrial production passed the previous peak reached in March 2008, according to the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.

World trade volume: Based on preliminary data, world trade volume increased by 0.7% in June from the previous month, following an upwardly revised increase of 2.3% in May. The 0.7% increase results from an import rise of 1.7% and an export decline of 0.3%. The CPB says monthly import and export data can differ substantially, but in the long run the difference is negligible. Import volumes went up in all regions, apart from Central and Eastern Europe. Export volume declined slightly in all major regions in June, except for the Eurozone which showed a strong increase.

The CPB says monthly trade figures are volatile and focus on ‘momentum’ is therefore preferable. In the second quarter trade growth in the advanced economies accelerated, but fell back considerably in most emerging regions. As a result world trade growth slowed down to 3.6% against 5.7% in the first quarter and 6.1% in the last quarter of 2009.

World industrial production: On the basis of preliminary data, the CPB says world industrial production grew by 0.2% in June, following a strong rise of 1.0% in May. In the second quarter industrial production growth in the United States and Europe held up, but decelerated strongly in Japan and the emerging markets. World industrial production grew by 2.0% in the second quarter, against 3.2% in the first and 2.9% in the last quarter of 2009. The world production level has recently passed the previous peak reached in March 2008.

The trade database in excel format as well as an explanatory note on our world trade series are available here.

On Wednesday, the Irish Maritime Development Office (IMDO) reported that export shipping volumes rose 5% year-on-year in H1 2010.

Import volumes were down 2 per cent which was mainly due to weak domestic demand. However, IMDO said the rate of decline in import volumes has eased sharply.

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