| Click for the Finfacts Ireland Portal Homepage |

Finfacts Business News Centre

Home 
 
 News
 Irish
 Irish Economy
 EU Economy
 US Economy
 UK Economy
 Global Economy
 International
 Property
 Innovation
 
 Analysis/Comment
 
 Asia Economy

RSS FEED


How to use our RSS feed

 
Web Finfacts

See Search Box lower down this column for searches of Finfacts news pages. Where there may be the odd special character missing from an older page, it's a problem that developed when Interactive Tools upgraded to a new content management system.

Welcome

Finfacts is Ireland's leading business information site and you are in its business news section.

Links

Finfacts Homepage

Irish Share Prices

Euribor Daily Rates

Irish Economy

Global Income Per Capita

Global Cost of Living

Irish Tax - Income/Corporate

Global News

Bloomberg News

CNN Money

Cnet Tech News

Newspapers

Irish Independent

Irish Times

Irish Examiner

New York Times

Financial Times

Technology News

 

Feedback

 

Content Management by interactivetools.com.

News : International Last Updated: Aug 24, 2010 - 11:45:44 AM


Markets News Tuesday: Aer Lingus expects to break-even in 2010; CRH shares plunge in Dublin; US dollar dips to 15-year low against yen
By Finfacts Team
Aug 24, 2010 - 9:23:12 AM

Email this article
 Printer friendly page

During August, we will not be providing the 'Markets Afternoon' report due to holiday and site development work. Use the relevant links below for the latest data.

Aer Lingus today reported pre-tax losses of €20.8 m for the first six months of the year, compared with losses of €81.7m the same time last year - - a 74% improvement. The airline made a profit of €18.8m in the second quarter of the year, due to lower operating costs, oil prices and the implementation of its restructuring programme. It said despite challenges, it remains confident of at least breaking even in 2010. Aer Lingus has not returned a profit since 2007.

Passenger revenue fell by 4.6% versus Q2 2009 due to a 16.6% fall in passenger numbers which was partly offset by a 14.3% rise in average yield per passenger compared to the same period in 2009.  Capacity was 19.8% lower primarily due to planned cuts in capacity (including at the London Gatwick base) but also as a result of volcanic ash disruptions to airspace.

Short haul passenger revenue decreased by 3.8% on Q2 2009 to €184.0m in Q2 2010.  The average yield on short haul routes increased by 13.8% while short haul passenger volumes declined by 15.8%.  Short haul capacity was 12.8% lower in Q2 2010 compared to Q2 2009 to due a reduction in the scale of activities at London Gatwick and enforced cancellations in April and May due to the closure of northern European airspace following the eruption of the Icelandic volcano. Short haul load factor in Q2 2010 declined by 1.5 points versus Q2 2009.

Christoph Mueller, Aer Lingus' CEO, commented: "Aer Lingus has delivered a significantly improved operating result in the first half of 2010 compared to prior year. This performance has been driven by strong unit revenue growth coupled with a significant improvement in our cost base. This operating result was achieved despite the adverse impact of volcanic ash disruption in H1 2010 as well as the continuation of difficult conditions in our key Irish market where unemployment is currently at 13.7% and where passenger numbers passing through Dublin Airport have declined by 16% compared to the first six months of 2009.

For the 2010 full year, we expect to report an operating performance (before exceptional items) of no worse than break even. This would represent a good performance in difficult market conditions but is predicated on the delivery of committed staff productivity savings and no further significant disruptions to operations from industrial action or airspace closures.

Looking to 2011, it remains too early to provide firm guidance on the Group's expected performance. Yields and passenger volumes will be dependent on the economic outlook in our main markets which remains uncertain.  However, we expect ongoing improvement in our cost base in 2011 as we continue to implement the Greenfield cost reduction programme."

Results detail

The yen is being driven by carry trade and risk aversion, says Roman Scott, managing director at Calamander Capital. He tells CNBC's Oriel Morrison that Japan should use the yen strength to buy assets abroad in order to mediate the appreciating currency:

Strong H1 results with improvements in costs and capacity rationalisation: Davy analyst, Joshua Goldman, commented - - "ANALYSIS: As suggested in its trading update in late July, Aer Lingus had a very strong H1. In the first half, the company had an operating loss of €19m, pre-exceptional, (Davy: -€57m) with EPS of -2.5c (Davy: -9.0c) .This is c.80% better than last year's H1 operating loss of €93m. The key to the company's strong results was capacity rationalisation, which allowed for higher yields, and cost reduction measures. Long-haul capacity was reduced by 31.6% while demand only decreased by 26.5%, leading to a load factor that was 5.2pp higher year-on-year (yoy). Along with the increased demand for business-class service, this contributed to the average yield increasing by 17.5%. Short-haul demand decreased by more than capacity, leading to a load factor 1.9pp lower yoy. In spite of this, yields increased by 9% yoy. Although total ancillaries were down 3.9% in H1 due to lower passenger numbers, the actual ancillary revenue per passenger was up to €18.32, a 7.8% increase yoy.

The company remains committed to reducing costs. As part of the Greenfield initiative, it has delivered staff savings of €11.7m in H1 with an annualised run-rate of €29.6m to the end of June. By the end of 2010, the company continues to target an annualised €50m of staff and €4m of non-staff cost savings. This will leave the balance (€43m) of the total targeted €97m in cost savings for 2011

DAVY VIEW: The company remains committed to the Greenfield cost saving initiative. Although we will re-examine our forecasts after the company’s presentation at 09.00 (live webcast at www.aerlingus.com; or by phone at +353 1 436 4265; confirmation #322 2220), an initial review suggests that Aer Lingus could achieve an operating profit in the range €10-20m. This assumes that the current issues with cabin crew on scheduling do not escalate. Although there is limited visibility into 2011, we believe that even without significant revenue improvements, the cost-cutting measures to be implemented and the full-year run-rate of those implemented in 2010 should allow Aer Lingus to continue to improve its operating results."

Economic View: Mortgage market still in the doldrums; Goodbody's chief economist, Dermot O’Leary, commented - - "As an illustration of why the Irish housing market continues to languish, one should look no further than the latest gross lending statistics from the Irish Banking Federation (IBF). The volume of mortgage lending fell by 38% yoy in Q2 2010, similar to the rate of decline witnessed in the opening three months. With average loan sizes falling, this translated into a 40% decline in the value of new mortgage lending in Q2. While there will continue to be little in the way of mortgage lending in the investor, top-up and re-mortgaging categories, the most disappointing element of the new figures was the reversal of the easing rate of decline for first-time buyers (-7% yoy) and mover-purchasers (-36% yoy).

Taking these trends, we now believe that gross lending will fall by a third in 2010, before increasing by 6% in 2011. To put this in context, the €5.3bn new lending expected in 2010 is a little over a tenth of the lending seen at the peak in 2006 (c.40bn). Taking this on board, we are often asked why is it that net lending is only down by a modest amount – down 3% from the peak in June 2010. Part of the reason for this is that the rate of repayment fell substantially over recent years as some struggling home-owners renegotiated mortgage terms. However, there is evidence over the past two quarters that this is starting to unravel. What this means is that the net lending will go sharply negative over the coming months, accelerating the deleveraging process for the banks and for the economy overall."

Rob Dobson, senior economist at Markit, joined CNBC for a look at the PMI numbers out of the Eurozone in August.

Markit PMI indices temper expectations for euro-zone growth: Davy's Aidan Corcoran commented -- "The European business cycle is often thought to lag the US cycle, and yesterday's euro-zone Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) results have done little to dispel the idea. But while US data have shown a marked deterioration in the economic outlook, the euro-zone PMI figures serve only to moderate the expectations for growth.

The headline composite service and manufacturing index came in at 56.1, disappointing forecasters who had pencilled in a smaller drop, from 56.7 in July to 56.4. The fall suggests that the euro-zone will struggle to match the 1% pace of the flash estimate of Q2 quarterly growth over the coming months. Flagging international demand weighed on the PMI index, with the export orders component of the manufacturing index falling from 55.4 in July to 54.4 in August.

Weaker demand for exports partly explains the drop in the German manufacturing index from 61.2 to 58.2. That international demand is suffering should have come as little surprise given the slew of negative data from the US. More detail will be available on the German accounts tomorrow, with the publication of the official GDP estimates for Q2.

We would caution against reading too much into the weaker PMI indices. The figures remain comfortably above the 50 mark which separates recession from expansion, and any disappointment among commentators may be partly due to extrapolation of the 1% GDP growth flash estimate. But this export-driven growth always looked vulnerable in the context of flagging international demand, while fiscal austerity looming over the UK and the periphery limits any upside potential. "

Johannes Seibert, MD at BMW Group Asia, says the carmaker is cautiously optimistic on the global economy. However, he speaks to CNBC's Chloe Cho, Yousef Gamal El-Din and Steve Sedgwick about why he is upbeat on the company's prospects in Asia:

US Markets

On Monday in New York, the Dow Jones fell 39 points or 0.38% to 10174.

The S&P 500 slid 0.40% and the Nasdaq slipped 0.92%.

Asia Markets

Asian stocks fell Tuesday on fears the global recovery is faltering,

The index dipped 0.7%.

The US dollar returned towards a 15-year low against the yen hit earlier this month, dipping below 85 yen; the Nikkei average hit a 15-month closing low below 9,000 points.

The Nikkei dropped 1.33%; China's Shanghai Composite added 0.24%; Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 1.08% and India's Sensex Index lost 0.38%.

Asia benchmarks

Finfacts Reports

CRH reports 77% drop in H1 2010 profit to €25m
Ireland will be paying 10% of tax revenues in 2011 to service the national debt
Fears of deflation have resurfaced in the US
US economist says rising executive pay gap has spawned expenditure cascades throughout the economy
Producing superstars for the economic World Cup: New evidence from Mexico
Irish Innovation: Ireland banking on the faith-based smart economy strategy

In Europe, the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 fell 0.99% Tuesday.

The ISEQ has declined 4.13% in Dublin.

CRH, which accounts for over 30% of Irish market capitalisation, has plunged over 14% after reporting a 77% dive in H1 profits  --  see link in Box above. Aer Lingus is up 1.08%; AIB is off 3.03% and BoI has dipped 2.35%.

European Benchmarks

Irish Share Prices

Irish Stock Market Capitalisation by Company

Key Index Performance Statistics

Euribor Rates

AIB Daily Report

Bank of Ireland Daily Report

Currencies 

The euro is trading at $1.2618 and at £0.8203.

For live currency updates, check the right-hand column of the Finfacts home page.

The US dollar fell to $1.6038 per euro on Tuesday, July 15, 2008 - an-all time record.

Commodities

The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping costs for dry commodities, hit an all-time High of 11,771 on the 21st of May, 2008. From that time it reversed and on the 5th of December, 2008 it hit a low of 663 - - close to a 1986 low.

The BDI closed at 3,005 on Thursday, Dec 31st - - a rise of 289% in 2009. The index averaged 59% lower in 2009 than a year earlier.

On Thursday, July 15, 2010, the index  fell for the 35th straight session, by 9 points, or 0.537%, to 1,700 points, Bloomberg report.

On Friday July16th, the BDI rose 20 points or 1.12% to 1,700 to break the 35-session losing streak; on Monday this week, the BDI rose 85 points or 3.08% to 2,841.

Crude oil for October 2010 delivery is currently trading on the Chicago York Mercantile Exchange (CME/Nymex) at $72.29 per barrel down  81 cents from Monday's close. In London, Brent for October delivery is trading on the International Commodities Exchange at $73.00.

Gold spot price

The spot price of an oz of gold is trading in New York at $1,220.90, down $5.00 from Monday's close.

Related Articles


© Copyright 2010 by Finfacts.com

Top of Page

International
Latest Headlines
Markets: Greece back at the brink; Barclays reports dip in 2011 profits - - cuts cash bonuses
Friday Newspaper Review - - Irish Business News - - February 10, 2012
Markets: Credit Suisse reports Q4 2011 loss; UK-listed Greencore has strong start to its financial year; ECB expected to keep rates on hold
Thursday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - February 09, 2012
Markets: Smurfit Kappa reports pre-tax profits trebled in 2011; Nokia to cut 4,000 jobs and move production to Asia
Wednesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - February 08, 2012
Markets: UBS reports plunge in 2011 profit: BP reports profit surge; Santander adds €2.3bn to provisions; Toyota's 9-month profit dips; Glencore to buy Xstrata
Tuesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - February 07, 2012
Markets News: Aer Lingus reports rise in January traffic
Monday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - February 06, 2012
Markets: Ryanair warns Aer Lingus on covering €400m deficit in staff pension fund
Friday Newspaper Review - - Irish Business News - - February 03, 2012
Markets: Deutsche Bank plunges to loss in Q4 2011; Baltic Dry Index sinks to 25-year low on shipping glut
Thursday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - February 02, 2012
Markets News: Amazon.com's fourth-quarter earnings fell 57%
Wednesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - February 01, 2012
Markets News: EU25 leaders agree to sign fiscal compact agreement in March
Tuesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 31, 2012
Markets News: EU leaders expected to approve text of new intergovernmental treaty today
Monday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 30, 2012
Spain's jobless rate at end 2111 was 22.85%; Samsung reports record profits; Baltic Dry Index down 27 days in a row
Friday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 27 , 2012
Markets News: Japan's struggling giants NEC and Nintendo expect big losses; NEC to cut 10,000 jobs
Thursday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 26, 2012
Markets News: Japan reports first annual trade deficit since 1980; World Economic Forum opens in Davos
Wednesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 25, 2012
Markets News: Irish retail sales continued to fall in Q4 2011; India's Reserve Bank switches stance to economic growth
Tuesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 24, 2012
Markets News: EU finance ministers to discuss new bailout fund and Greece restructuring talks
Monday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 23, 2012
Markets: Year of Dragon set to commence as China's manufacturing weakness persists; Greencore decamps to London
Friday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 22, 2012
Markets News: 1880 vintage Eastman Kodak has little left but a patents' trove; Readymix in takeover talks
Thursday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 19, 2012
Markets News: Tullow Oil says revenues doubled to $2.3bn in 2011
Wednesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 18, 2012
Markets News: RBS sells Dublin-based aviation leasing unit for $7.3bn; C&C reports strong Christmas drinks performance
Tuesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 17, 2012
Markets News: Sarkozy to continue to implement reforms despite ratings downgrade; DCC says good weather is bad news
Monday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - January 16, 2012