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On Thursday, Hewlett-Packard (HP)
reported an
11% rise in revenue and a 6% profit increase for its
fiscal third quarter, which ended July 31st. The technology giant,
which in the world's No. 1 PC maker, has been in the news
following the firing of its CEO, Mark Hurd, two weeks ago,
also raised its full-year outlook. Rival
Dell, the world's No. 3 PC maker, also reported results Thursday
and said
profit rose 15% in its fiscal second quarter as the
company confirmed hat business
from its corporate and public sector customers is
improving.
HP said Thursday that
its
quarterly results were driven by growth across
its product portfolio -- including PCs,
servers, services and printers. Earnings were $1.77bn, or 75
cents a share, up from $1.67bn, or 69 cents a
share, a year earlier. Revenue was $30.7bn, up
from $27.6bn.
"The broad-based strength of HP's Q3
performance further demonstrates the power of our strategy
and the discipline of our execution,"
said Cathie Lesjak, HP chief financial officer and interim
chief executive officer. "We raised
our full-year outlook and are continuing to build momentum
in driving out costs, investing for profitable growth and
capitalizing on HP's competitive advantages in the
marketplace."
Dell
reported a profit for
the quarter ended July 30 of $545m, or 28
cents a share, up from $472m, or 24 cents a
share, in the same period last year. Excluding
severance-related charges and other items, earnings
rose to 32 cents a share from 29 cents. Revenue rose
22% to $15.53bn.
Euro: Bloomberg
reports that the euro is so important to Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa, one of the common currency’s
founding fathers, that he’s willing to work for free to
safeguard its future.
Greek Prime Minister
George Papandreou this month asked Padoa-Schioppa, whose
previous roles include Italian finance minister, central
banker, economist and international banking supervisor, to
advise the country on its debt management.
The Fed and other central
banks will be forced to introduce a second round of quantitative easing in a bid
to boost the economy, Steen Jakobsen Group from Limus Capital Partners told CNBC
Friday. "We inch closer to the QE2, whether that becomes the Titanic will be
a discussion," Jakobsen said:
Irish car licence and rental price figures broadly positive,
while US and UK data paint a mixed picture: Davy's Aidan Corcoran
comments - -"Data released by the CSO yesterday (August
19th) show that 7,018 new private cars were licensed in July 2010,
an increase of 61% over the July 2009 figure of 4,355. The increase
suggests that consumers are regaining some appetite, but the
exceptionally low level of the July 2009 figure exaggerates the
change.
The average asking rent for Q2 2010 was 0.9% lower than in the
previous quarter, according to the Daft.ie rental report, published
yesterday. This represents the lowest quarterly rate of decline
since Q2 2008. The data provide a valuable snapshot of trends in the
rental market, but inferring actual rents and rental yields from the
advertised asking prices risks giving a false picture. The higher
number of transactions and consequent fall in the stock of
properties available to rent does suggest that prices are coming
closer to finding a floor, although significant regional disparities
persist.
International news yesterday reinforced the picture of
diverging recovery scenarios across the major economic powers.
US data were unequivocally negative. Jobless claims again
disappointed, with the figure for the week ended August 14th
climbing by 12,000 to 500,000 claims. The Federal Reserve Bank of
Philadelphia’s general economic index, a gauge of sentiment among
manufacturers, fell to -7.7 this month. This was the lowest reading
since July 2009, down from 5.1 in July, and will heighten fears of a
faltering US recovery.
UK retail sales were 1.3% higher in July 2010 than July 2009,
posting a 1.1% monthly gain. The figure surprised analysts but might
be partly explained by some consumers bringing purchases forward in
advance of tax hikes. Meanwhile, a sharp rise in corporation tax
receipts helped public sector net borrowing to come in below
expectations (£3.8bn compared to £6.1bn for July of last year). Any
consumer optimism will be kept in check by the spectre of public
sector budget cuts soon to be undertaken."
Australians will
vote on who will lead the country over the next three years this weekend in what
looks set to be a closely fought election. Sean Fenton from Tribeca Investment
Partners considers the outlook:
Economic View: Markets in risk-off mode once again; Goodbody chief
economist, Dermot O’Leary, comments -- "Yesterday’s data from the US did
little to dispel some of the fears around an impending slowdown in the world’s
most important economy. Jobless claims rose, the regional Fed survey from
Philadelphia fell sharply, while the US leading indicators have virtually been
flat for five months now. While banking sector and sovereign issues have
dominated for much of the year, markets are now reacting to slowing economic
momentum.
The important question is whether this is just a temporary slowdown
following the massive stimulus injected in 2009 or the early signs of another
recession. The simple (and admittedly coy) answer to this question is that it is
still too early to tell. Markets are beginning to price in a slowdown though,
with US and core European bond yields (despite upwardly revised GDP growth
forecasts in the latter) hitting record lows yet again and Gold approaching
all-time highs yet again. In the markets’ view there is an increasing chance
that deflation will become a reality and, given the level of unemployment in the
developed world, the scale of spare capacity would suggest that downward
pressure on prices will indeed remain.
While European policymakers are intent on reducing budget deficits and
leaving monetary policy settings where they are, should the incoming data,
particularly next month’s employment report, continue to be weak, the calls for
further stimulus to aid the recovery are bound to get louder."
Insight on the
movie "The Expendables," with Sylvestor Stallone, Dolph Lundgren, Jason
Statham and Terry Crews:
US Markets
On Thursday
in New York, the Dow Jones fell 144 points or 1.39% to 10,271.
The S&P 500
slid 1.69% and the Nasdaq slipped 1.66%.
US first-time weekly jobless
benefit claims rose to the highest level in 9 months last week.
The US Department of Labor
reported Thursday that in the week ending Aug. 14th, the advance figure for
seasonally adjusted initial claims was 500,000, an increase of 12,000 from the
previous week's revised figure of 488,000. The 4-week moving average was
482,500, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week's revised average of
474,500.
Asia
Markets
Asian stocks fell, halting a five- day stretch of gains for the MSCI
Asia Pacific Index,
The index dipped 1.3% Friday.
The
Nikkei dropped 1.96%; China's Shanghai Composite declined 1.70%; Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index
fell 1.07% -- in advance of the expected close federal election on
Saturday - - and India's Sensex
Index lost 0.26%.
The BDI closed at 3,005 on Thursday, Dec 31st - - a rise of 289%
in 2009. The index averaged 59% lower in 2009 than a year earlier.
On Thursday, July 15, 2010, the index fell for the 35th
straight session, by 9 points, or 0.537%, to 1,700 points,
Bloomberg report.
On Friday July16th,
the BDI rose 20 points or 1.12% to 1,700 to break the 35-session losing streak;
on Thursday this week, the BDI rose 86 points or
3.36% to 2,644.
The spot price of an oz of gold is trading in New York at
$1,230.40, down $2.00 from Thursday's close.
Irish Financials: Bank of Scotland Ireland
pulls out of Ireland;Goodbody's Eamonn Hughes comments -- "A few months
ago, Lloyds Bank took the decision to close its retail franchise in Ireland.
Given that decision and the turmoil in the financial sector, it was therefore no
great surprise to hear that Lloyds has taken a further decision to close the
balance of its Irish business, Bank of Scotland (Ireland), which was its
business bank. Staff are to move to a new company which will manage the loans,
but the decision removes another competitor from the market and will dampen
credit availability in the SME sector in the coming quarters, though ISME
estimates its share at around 5%.
Our normalised earnings for the main domestic banks show profits are likely to
be no more than 60% of the previous peak and with margins likely to be higher
then (2014) than the previous peak in 2007, this implies the revenue pool is
smaller again. So capacity in the domestic banking market had to be dramatically
reduced and yesterday’s announcement just represents (notwithstanding the likely
hardship for staff) a further move in this process. Over the longer term, this
is good news for remaining players on the margin front, though we estimate it
will still take until 2014 before the two main banks get to normalised ROEs of
13-14% notwithstanding asset spread gains due to pressures on the liability side
(combined with anaemic asset volumes of new business).
Elsewhere, we note Minister for Finance, Brian Lenihan’s, comments that “we want
to see the banks off the guarantee as soon as possible…what we are talking about
here is the phasing out of the guarantee over time”. This should be no surprise
to most investors in the banks and it would be our view that the guarantee will
need to be extended from the year end deadline until further out. Remember, the
Central Bank governor earlier this week indicated that the hope would be that it
is over quarters rather than years. The Minister added that discussions were
under way with the EU Commission about extending some of the September
deadlines. Presently, the updated guarantee plan (ELG) offers move limited cover
out to December, but the media reports that the Department of Finance has some
concerns about the end of the existing guarantee on both inter-bank deposits and
short term corporate deposits (as we do ourselves!). It would be helpful (though
at a full cost no doubt) if such funding metrics were extended to year end (as a
starter), but we await any further details."