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The German ZEW Indicator of Economic
Sentiment fell slightly by 7.2 points in August 2010. The
indicator now stands at 14.0 points after 21.2 points in the
previous month. This value is below the indicator's historical
average of 27.3 points.
The German economy developed very
dynamically in the second quarter of the current year. ZEW,
Zentrum für Europäische
Wirtschaftsforschung/Centre for European Economic Research, which is based in
Mannheim, said the latest GDP growth estimates and
corporate
data from the current reporting period confirms this. The current decrease of
the economic sentiment indicates that the enormous growth
observed in the second quarter is unlikely to continue. Due to
Germany's dependence on exports, major risks for economic growth
arise from a weak development abroad, e.g. in the euro zone and
the United States.
"Given that economic growth worldwide looses momentum, the
euphoria about the growth rates in some branches makes financial
market experts feel uneasy. Anyway, high growth rates are always
easier to realise from a low base level, though with decreasing
dynamics", says ZEW President, Prof. Wolfgang Franz.
Once again, the assessment of the current economic situation
in Germany improves considerably compared to the previous month.
In August the corresponding indicator rises by 29.7 points to
44.3 points. The economic expectations for the euro zone rise by
5.1 points in August. The respective indicator now stands at
15.8 points. The indicator for the current economic situation in
the euro zone improves by 13.5 points and now stands at minus
13.0 points.
Some 284 analysts participated in
the August-survey which was conducted during the period July26-August 16th.
Analysts were asked about their expectations for the next 6 months. Numbers
displayed are percentages (month-over-month percentage point changes in
parentheses). Balances refer to the difference between positive and negative
assessments.
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German investor sentiment fell
sharply in August, according to the ZEW index Tuesday. Frieder Mokinski from ZEW,
Carsten Brzeski from ING Bank and Dan Greenhaus from Miller Tabak & Co. consider
the outlook: