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The Irish Independent reports that Anglo Irish Bank continued the transfer of its second
tranche of €8bn in loans to the National Asset Management
Agency (NAMA) at the weekend -- and the Irish Independent
understands the full amount could be with the agency by next
weekend.
Four of the five participating institutions in
NAMA -- Bank of Ireland, Allied Irish Banks, Irish
Nationwide and EBS -- transferred €5.2bn worth of loans at
an average discount of 48pc to NAMA last month. Anglo had also been due to transfer loans at that time.
It is believed the delay in transferring the Anglo loans was
due to the amount of due diligence being undertaken on them
and the scale of the loan book. Last month it emerged that just one-quarter of the
€15.3bn first tranche of loans transferred to NAMA was being
repaid, despite the banks' assurances that 40pc were
performing.
That meant that 75pc -- or €11.5bn worth -- of loans
transferred to the toxic assets agency by financial
institutions were no longer being actively repaid.
The extremely poor quality of the loans is understood to
have been a disturbing surprise for NAMA bosses.
The weekend before last, about €1.4bn worth of Anglo's
second tranche of loans were transferred to NAMA. It is
believed the complete second tranche of loans will be
transferred to the toxic bank by either next weekend or the
weekend after at the latest.
Irish Nationwide took a 72pc haircut on the value of
loans it transferred to NAMA in the second tranche, while
AIB took a 48.5pc cut, Bank of Ireland 37.8pc and EBS 46pc.
Meanwhile, the National Treasury Management Agency is
preparing tomorrow to auction up to €1.5bn in a 4pc bond
that matures in 2014 and a 5pc bond that matures in 2020.
Ireland's borrowing costs have been rising, and Central Bank
Governor Patrick Honohan has described the spread between
Irish and German 10-year bonds as "ridiculous".
The ECB has reportedly been buying into short-term Irish
bonds in an effort to eliminate market volatility.
The Irish Independent also reports that Aer Lingus chief executive Christoph Mueller has warned Transport
Minister Noel Dempsey that increasing passenger charges at Dublin
Airport would force the airline to find an additional €25m in annual
savings.
Mr Mueller said the airline would have to absorb an up to
41pc rise in passenger charges from this year because it would not be
possible in the "current and expected demand environment" to pass the
increases on to consumers. That would force the airline to up its annual
savings target from €97m to €122m.
The Aer Lingus chief made the comments in a letter to Mr Dempsey last
November after the minister effectively ordered Aviation Regulator
Cathal Guiomard to push through substantial rises in passenger charges
at Dublin Airport to ensure that the Dublin Airport Authority (DAA)
remained a financially secure operation.
The letter was released to the Irish Independent under theFreedom of
Information Act.
In it, Mr Mueller said a 41pc rise in passenger charges at Dublin
Airport would raise Aer Lingus's annual charges at the facility from
about €62m to €87m.
"In the context of our cost reduction plan, the effect of your
direction will be for the savings from staff taking paycuts or even
being made redundant, having to be handed over to the DAA just to cover
increased airport charges.
"This cannot have been your intention, however, it will be one of the
consequences," Mr Mueller told Mr Dempsey.
"At a time when traffic is falling and the industry is seeing a
structural change in what consumers are prepared to pay, we find it
bizarre that you should, in effect, direct the DAA to increase charges
further," added Mr Mueller.
The DAA subsequently said the charge increase wasn't big enough.
The Aer Lingus chief executive has been trying to finalise staff
layoffs, wage cuts and changed work practices as part of the €97m
'Project Greenfield' plan.
Rosters
Although all staff had eventually signed up for the cuts, cabin crew
last week voted for industrial action in light of changes being made to
their rosters.
After the minister's direction last year, the Commission for Aviation
Regulation announced just before Christmas the new tranche of passenger
charges that would apply at Dublin up to 2014.
"I must take account of the long-term development of the Irish
aviation market and the significant role that adequate terminal and
runway facilities at Dublin Airport will play in ensuring connectivity
to key business and tourism markets," wrote Mr Dempsey. However, Ryanair
chief executive Michael O'Leary accused Mr Dempsey in a letter of being
more concerned about appeasing the DAA's bankers than reversing a sharp
fall in airline passenger traffic.
The Irish Times reports that Europe's economic recovery is still
“gradual” despite strong
growth in Germany, said Irish Central Bank governor Prof. Patrick Honohan yesterday.
German GDP rose 2.2 per cent quarter on
quarter, its fastest quarterly rate since the country reunified
in the early 1990s following the fall of the Berlin Wall,
pushing the euro zone aggregate GDP growth to 1.0 per cent.
The growth spurt helped push the 16-member bloc to its
fastest expansion rate in three years.
“The story is a rather slow recovery despite the rather
encouraging news from Germany,” said
teh governor, who is a
member of the European Central Bank rate-setting governing
council.
That gradual growth and still-tame inflation, as well as the
lack of asset bubbles emerging, means there is no need to rush
for early exit strategies from market support measures by the
ECB, he said.
One of the measures the ECB has undertaken since the
intensification of the global financial crisis is to lend banks
as much money as they request. Although it did experiment with
competitive tenders in April, it has since reversed tack.
“If we look at the last few weeks . . . we see some widening
of [sovereign] spreads rather than a narrowing, so from that
perspective it would not be pointing in direction of further
exit steps of that type,” Prof Honohan said.
He noted that the earlier move to competitive tenders had
“highlighted pockets of sensitivity in the money markets that
perhaps were unexpected”.
The ECB held interest rates at a record low 1 per cent at its
last meeting on August 5th and said that inflation pressures
over the medium term “remain contained”.
Prof Honohan declined to comment directly on economists’
forecasts that see the ECB holding rates until well into 2011,
but said he saw few signs of “excesses” emerging in asset
prices. “I don’t see that at the moment, but that I think is
something that will be in the back of everybody’s mind in the
months ahead,” he said.
He said Ireland remained committed to its target of
reducing its budget deficit to 3 per cent of gross domestic
product by 2014.
Risk premiums on Irish bonds surged on Wednesday, hitting 300
basis points over German bonds for the first time since early
July amid talk of European Central Bank action to stabilise the
spread and after Anglo Irish Bank won EU clearance for another,
bigger than expected bailout.
The EU last week approved plans for up to €10 billion of
state aid for Anglo Irish and Prof Honohan said that plans to
recapitalise the bank were well on track and had little impact
on the Government’s overall deficit plans.
“If you said €22-€25 billion nobody could disagree with that
for being a realistic figure for the Anglo Irish net cost to the
exchequer,” he said. “In terms of overall net borrowing for the
Government, this is not a game changer.”
The Irish Times also reports that CAO points for most college courses are set to increase this
year because of a surge in demand for third-level college
places.
A tighter jobs market has driven up competition for
places, with final CAO figures showing a 4 per cent increase in
applications for level 8 or higher degree courses.
There has also been a sharp increase in demand for places in
medicine and related areas.
With Leaving Certificate students set to get their results on
Wednesday, career experts predict a significant increase in
points for all medical related courses.
Details of this year’s CAO points requirements will be
published next Monday. They are expected to show a slight
increase in points for arts; a marginal increase for most
science and engineering courses; no major change from last year
for business courses; a dramatic fall off for property and
construction courses; points will increase again for nursing;
and no major change is expected in the requirement for teaching.
Overall, college applications for higher level courses have
reached record levels, and are up from 64,774 to 67,640. This
reflects a huge surge in interest among mature learners because
of the economic downturn. The closing off of apprenticeship
schemes and the embargo on public service recruitment is also
driving demand for college places.
In medicine, applications are up by over 10 per cent while
demand for dentistry is up 14 per cent.
Overall demand for courses listed by the CAO as
“other
healthcare” – such as occupational therapy, speech and language
therapy, rehabilitation and athletic therapy and social care –
has risen by over 25 per cent.
Physiotherapy, where student interest fell back last year,
has bounced back with a 21 per cent increase in applications.
The new figures also show a 5.5 per cent increase in
applications for arts and social science courses.
After years of falling back, points for arts increased last
year. A further modest increase in points is expected this year
for most arts courses – including arts at University College
Dublin, the largest undergraduate course in the State.
Students can also expect a similar trend for business courses
where applications are also up by 5 per cent. Business courses
boomed during the Celtic Tiger years but student demand has
slowed in the past three years.
In nursing, points increased last year after the Health
Service Executive moved to cut the number of training places.
Points are expected to rise again this year after a 4 per cent
increase in applications.
This year’s CAO figures are also expected to show an increase
in points for science courses with some 540 additional students
seeking places on science and related courses. After years of
decline, points for science have increased dramatically as
parents and students see it as an area with strong employment
potential. Last year, points for science in UCD rose from 305 to
385.
As expected, student demand for courses linked to the
construction industry has fallen away significantly. Overall,
applications for courses grouped by the CAO as the “built
environment” are down by close to 23 per cent. Only 317 students
chose courses in this area as their first college preference.
Demand for courses in architecture also slow with only 750
applications. Negative publicity about unemployed solicitors is
also feeding into CAO choices. Demand for law courses is down by
over 4 per cent.
Publicity about decreased margins and mark-ups for pharmacies
has had an impact as demand for pharmacy courses is down 21 per
cent.
Surprisingly, demand for courses in teaching and education
has increased only marginally, despite the Government’s
commitment to recruit extra teachers and maintain class size at
current levels. Points are expected to be broadly similar to
last year’s levels for teaching.
A similar pattern is expected for courses in agriculture and
art and design where demand for places has increased marginally.
The Irish Examiner reports that emergency welfare payments have ballooned to a cost of
€100 million for the first six months of this year, as more people than
ever look for extra help to survive.
Almost 42,000 people are now in receipt of emergency payments under
the basic supplementary welfare allowance scheme, the so-called "safety
net" of the social welfare system.
The cost of the payments in the whole of 2007 was €150m, with just
27,379 recipients. This increased to 35,546 people at the end of 2008,
costing €184m for the year.
With costs for the first six months of the year hitting €100m and the
number of recipients exceeding the total number in 2008, fears are
mounting the total cost for this year will break records.
The supplementary welfare allowance scheme was designed to provide a
small weekly allowance to people with little or no income. It is
administered on behalf of the department by the Health Service
Executive’s community welfare officers and each payment is at the
discretion of the individual officer.
The latest figures show that almost 20,000 of those currently in receipt
of the payment are awaiting jobseekers’ benefit.
In excess of 4,000 are awaiting a disability benefit and almost 4,000
lone parents are in receipt of the emergency payment.
The news comes as the ESB confirmed it is cutting off an average of 900
people a month from electricity supply after a prolonged period of
failure to pay bills.
In further evidence of ordinary people’s increasingly dire financial
circumstances, the latest figures from the Money Advice and Bugeting
Service (MABS) reveal its new client figures are up 10% from the same
time last year.
The MABS figures show it assisted almost 13,000 new clients in the first
two quarters of the year.
Michael Culloty of MABS said there was no let-up in the number of
desperate people seeking assistance. He said most people were in
difficulty not because of any reckless spending or borrowing, but purely
because of a change in circumstances.
More than 11,000 of MABS’ new clients this year are high-support
clients: those who have been assisted to negotiate repayment plans with
their creditors, and special account clients whose repayment plans are
supported through a MABS special account scheme, a bill-paying facility
operated in partnership with credit unions.
In excess of 6,000 of the high-support clients are aged between 26 and
40, with more than 2,500 of those married with children. Almost 2,000
are single with children.
The statistics show that almost 4,500 have a mortgage.
Mr Culloty said this had started off from a very small base, and now
mortgage-holders made up about one third of clients.
"These are people, mainly families, who had jobs and who have now lost
one or both of them and are finding it extremely difficult."
The figures also show that almost 70% of MABS clients are primarily
living off social welfare.
Personal loans with financial institutions made up the highest category
with 6,219 people owing money to them. The next highest category under
which debt was an issue was utilities at 4,133, followed by credit cards
at 3,537.
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Editor's
Picks:
Japanese economy slows unexpectedly - - Annualised growth for quarter
only 0.4%; Growth in the country’s gross domestic product slowed to an
annualised, seasonally adjusted pace of 0.4 per cent in the three months ended
June 30.
Whose miracle? Is German bounce too
dependent on China? -- For now, however, German industrialists
have plenty of reasons to be cheerful. Many plants are running at full speed
again, some companies are expanding capacity and many are re-hiring contract
workers. Orders in the engineering sector, Germany’s economic backbone that
includes industrial giants such as Siemens as well as swaths of midsized
family-owned companies, shot up by 32 per cent year-on-year in the first six
months, following a drop of 38 per cent in the past year.
Jürgen Stark Idea of Euro-paralysis is an
illusion - - The ECB executive
board member says there is a clear mandate for the Task Force on Economic
Governance, established by the European Council and chaired by President Herman
Van Rompuy, to push forward with reforms. We will see an enhancement of fiscal
surveillance, a more stringent implementation of multilateral surveillance to
correct excessive deficits and debt, and better instruments for the prevention
and resolution of crises.
Sponsors score with World Cup --
Budweiser, Coke and McDonald’s claim investment proved a success; In the UK,
Budweiser beer sales were up 18.6 per cent in the quarter over the comparable
period in 2009, in large part because of World Cup-related Budweiser promotions,
AB InBev said.
US issues arms deal ultimatum to Turkey
-- President Barack Obama has personally warned Turkey’s prime minister that
unless Ankara shifts its position on Israel and Iran it stands little chance of
obtaining the US weapons it wants to buy.
Centre-right edges ahead in Swedish race
-- Sweden’s prime minister pledged tax cuts and promised to promote work over
welfare as campaigning began a month before his centre-right government hopes to
win a second term.
House prices face rollercoaster ride -
- Fears of a fresh dive after a modest global recovery; But most countries have
been on a modest upward swing. In part this is because of economic stimulus
measures as well as low interest rates that have made it relatively cheap to
borrow and meant there have not been the same numbers of distressed owners.
Access to the New York Times is currently free. If you are not registered, click
here.
Editor's
Picks:
China
Passes Japan as Second-Largest Economy - - Experts say that unseating Japan
underscores China’s clout and bolsters forecasts that China will pass the US as
the world’s biggest economy as early as 2030; “This has enormous
significance,” said Nicholas R. Lardy, an economist at the Peterson
Institute for International Economics. “It reconfirms what’s been happening
for the better part of a decade: China has been eclipsing Japan economically.
For everyone in China’s region, they’re now the biggest trading partner rather
than the US or Japan.”
Workers
Let Go by China’s Banks Are Putting Up a Fight - - Many of the employees who
are losing their jobs as state-run banks restructure are organizing and
demanding to be rehired or compensated, but they face a daunting task.
Rates Fall as Market Fears Economic Weakness - - As governments try to bring
down deficits, investors seem more concerned by the possibility of renewed
recession; The growing disenchantment with government spending has led to talk
of the world reaching a “Keynesian endpoint,” as Anthony J. Crescenzi, a
strategist for Pimco, a large investment firm, put it this summer. At such a
time, countries needing to rescue banks and stimulate their economies would be
unable or unwilling to do so.
Attacking Social Security - - Paul Krugman says critics of the program claim
that its future is in peril. But their math doesn’t add up, and underneath their
hostility is ignorance of the realities of life for many Americans.
Return of the Killer Trade Deficit -- The NYT says in an editorial
that the United States must work to correct its bulging trade deficit. But
first, major economic players must do more to bolster demand; The bulging
American trade deficit means that rising consumer demand is flowing to suppliers
overseas rather than fueling growth at home. The American economy is too weak to
carry this load. The recent trade data led economists to slash growth estimates
for this year.
Outdoors and Out of Reach, Studying the Brain - - Five neuroscientists spent
a week hiking to understand how heavy use of technology changes how we think and
behave; The quest to understand the impact on the brain of heavy technology use
— at a time when such use is exploding — is still in its early stages. To Mr.
Strayer, it is no less significant than when scientists investigated the effects
of consuming too much meat or alcohol.
Google Plan Disillusions Some Allies -- Groups that saw Google as a
top ally in the fight for net neutrality see its proposal with Verizon as a
retreat.
Start-Up Aims to Slay Chip Goliath - - A start-up wants to modify low-power
smartphone chips to run servers, the computers in corporate data centers. If
successful, it would undermine Intel’s server-chip juggernaut.
Beach Modesty for the President -- News photographers were upset over
the weekend when they were not invited to capture President Obama’s swim — and
chest — in the Gulf of Mexico themselves; To photographers, using a photo taken
by the White House is akin to reprinting a news release, and many news
organizations refuse to use such photos. The Associated Press did not distribute
the photo of the president’s swim on Saturday. A spokesman for The A.P., Paul
Colford, said that generally, the service “does not distribute a handout
photo when we could just as easily have taken the image ourselves.” Finfacts
has no problem with such photographs as they are free!!