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The Irish Independent reports that a shock doubling in the cost of some government borrowing
yesterday has been blamed on uncertainty about the final
cost of bailing out Anglo Irish Bank.
But the government
agency in charge of the national debt is determined to go
ahead with a more significant fundraising next Tuesday --
despite yesterday's worrying rise. The monthly borrowing of up to €1.5bn will now be watched
closely next week to see if there has been a real fall in
Ireland's credit rating. The shock came when lenders demanded an average rate of
almost 2.5pc on short-term loans due for repayment in
February. This compared with a rate of just under 1.4pc for
similar loans only three weeks ago.
The European Central Bank bought Irish government loans
yesterday, according to reports on the financial news
service Bloomberg, in what will be seen as a move aimed at
easing market strains.
Yesterday's expensive fund-raising came a day after news
that yet more money might have to go into Anglo Irish Bank
than had previously been estimated.
The governor of the Central Bank, Patrick Honohan, has
described the rates now being demanded for government
borrowing as "ridiculous" and said they "are a setback for
our hopes of a narrowing to reflect the fiscal credibility
of the country".
A Central Bank source said yesterday that Dr Honohan
stood by his words, despite yesterday's sharp rise in debt
yields.
Borrowing costs for Ireland and Portugal have been rising
steadily, after a short-lived fall when EU stress tests of
banks were published last month.
The more important 10-year loans are costing more than
5pc -- an annual rate which is about as fast as the economy
can possibly be expected to grow.
Lenders are worried about budget deficits in both
countries and about budgets and banking costs in Ireland.
They fear EU statisticians will insist that the 10-year
bill for rescuing Anglo is all recorded on this year's
government accounts -- producing a deficit of more than 20pc
of output (GDP).
Growing political opposition to more spending cuts will
also raise questions in the minds of international banks
that lend to the Government.
"There is a danger that markets get spooked and demand
rates well in excess of 5pc at next week's fundraising,"
said Brian Lucey, associate professor of finance at Trinity
College Business School.
He added: "Anything much over 5pc is dangerous
territory."
Markets are also worried about €80bn in loans which Irish
banks are due to repay and replace with fresh borrowings in
the next few months
The new debt will be guaranteed by the State, but no one
can see when the State might be free of these liabilities.
"One wouldn't read too much into what happens in quiet
August days," said Rossa White, economist at Davy Research.
He added: "But there will be no major progress until we
get EU decisions on the Anglo restructuring plan and move
beyond that."
Nick Stamenkovic, a strategist at RIA Capital Markets in
Edinburgh, said: "Irish debt is currently in the firing line
because of concern over the fate of the country's banks and
its implication on government finances.
"Investors are going to demand higher risk premiums."
The National Treasury Management Agency believes that
cancelling next Tuesday's monthly fundraising would be seen
as a panic measure.
It will therefore auction four-year loans and 10-year
loans at the best interest rate it can get.
The Irish Independent also reports that while other financial institutions are shedding staff, the
Central Bank is hiring as it beefs up to improve regulation
of the financial services sector.
The bank attracted 1,500
applications from graduates eager to work in the Dame Street
firm during a recent recruitment drive, although only 60 --
or one in 25 -- will get jobs.
Last night, some of those gathered in the National
Convention Centre to listen to Financial Regulator Matthew
Elderfield discussing graduate opportunities.
The bank will begin a new round of graduate recruitment
for 2011 in the autumn.
The National Asset Management Agency and the Central Bank
are among the few financial organisations still hiring large
numbers of graduates as they attempt to clear up the mess
created by reckless lending over the past decade.
The regulator is looking for staff for its two
supervisory departments, one for retail banking and the
other for wholesale. Other departments will attempt to
assess risk and promote financial stability by creating an
assessment framework for the banking sector.
Supervise
Mr Elderfield has said he wants about 10 regulators to
supervise each bank, or five times the pre-crisis number.
The Central Bank expects to recruit an extra 150
employees, including 60 graduates, this year, bringing
overall numbers to 1,300. It aims to add a further 150
employees next year.
The regulator is also looking for specialists with direct
business and banking experience, especially those with a
background in credit, liquidity, treasury, markets and risk.
"Our new approach to supervision requires staff with
appropriate technical and commercial skills that are able to
effectively challenge and interrogate institutions," the
bank said in a report earlier this year.
Mr Elderfield told a Dail committee that financial
institutions would be forced to pay for the higher costs.
"The cost of regulation will rise. But judged in the
context of the huge cost of a financial crisis, the increase
in the cost of regulation must be seen as a price worth
paying," he said.
The Irish Times reports that Government officials have been examining the option of making
employees pay PRSI contributions on rental income, investments,
share options and other “unearned income”.
It is under
consideration as part of a new “universal social contribution”
which is expected to replace PRSI, the health levy and income
levy in the forthcoming budget.
Internal documents prepared for the secretary general of the
Department of Social Protection show measures being studied
include:
Removing the income threshold under which low-paid workers
don’t have to make PRSI contributions, but are entitled to
social insurance benefits. At present employees who earn less
than €352 a week are exempt from making PRSI contributions.
- Ensuring employees and the self-employed pay the same rate
of PRSI. At present the rate for self employed is 3 per cent,
while it is 4 per cent for employees.
- Reforming employers’ PRSI contributions to reduce the cost
of employing workers who earn less than €500 a week.
- Introducing a minimum earnings threshold for access to
full-rate PRSI benefits.
- Removing the ceiling, above which employees pay no further
PRSI contributions. This is currently set at €75,000.
- The idea of extending PRSI to “unearned income” was
originally proposed by the Commission on Taxation last year.
Internal records state the Department of Social Protection
would welcome such a move which would broaden the PRSI base and
help tackle the deficit in funding for welfare benefits. While
there may be some technical issues with implementation,
officials state the feasibility of progression in the short term
is being examined.
As well as making the system “fairer and more equitable”, the
reforms are also aimed at addressing a shortfall in the social
insurance fund, which is used to pay for PRSI and other welfare
benefits. The surplus in the fund is due to run out this year.
As a result, it will require exchequer funding of about €2.5
billion this year.
A group of officials from the Department of Finance, in
consultation with the Department of Social Protection, the
Revenue Commissioners and other departments, have been examining
proposals for a new “universal social contribution”. It is due
to report to Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan in the coming
weeks.
The internal documents relating to this issue were released
to The Irish Times under the Freedom of Information
Act.
They do not include the views of the Department of Finance,
which will be crucial to any final measures.
The records state the current lack of a minimum earnings
threshold for access to full-rate PRSI benefits represents “bad
value for money”.
For example, it states that a person working part-time and
earning as little as €38 a week, or 4.5 hours or less per week
at the minimum wage, is entitled to social insurance benefits.
Officials suggest that this threshold could be raised to about
€70 a week.
The Government had pledged in its programme for government in
2007 to reduce PRSI contributions from 4 per cent to 2 per cent
over the lifetime of the administration. Any shortfall in the
social insurance fund would be reimbursed by the exchequer. In
the revised programme for government last year, there was no
reference to reducing PRSI contributions but there was a pledge
to abolish the PRSI ceiling in parallel with the reduction of
the “temporary income levy”.
This, it said, would improve the inequity whereby
“higher-paid employees pay proportionately less of their income
for social insurance than lower-paid employees”.
The Irish Times also reports that Anglo Irish Bank and Ulster Bank are preparing to provide €10
million in additional working capital to retailer Arnotts to
support the company.
Earlier this year the two banks provided
€12 million in new working capital as Arnotts sought to
restructure itself to meet the challenges of the recession.
Speaking to The Irish Times yesterday, in his first
interview since becoming Arnotts chairman on Wednesday, Mark
Schwartz said the new funding would help to make the company
“self-sufficient”.
“It is more than sufficient to support the working capital
needs of Arnotts for the foreseeable future,” he said.
Earlier this week, Anglo and Ulster Bank got clearance from
the European Commission to take joint ownership of Arnotts as
part of a major debt restructuring deal.
The banks are owed more than €300 million, with State-owned
Anglo on the hook for 55 per cent of that total.
Mr Schwartz said the banks were fully committed to Arnotts
and there was “no timetable” for them to exit the business.
“As
we generate excess cash flow, we will use that to pay interest
and pay down loans,” he said. “One has to take a long-term
perspective.”
When asked about Arnotts’ likely future ownership, Mr
Schwartz ran through some options. On the possibility of it
becoming a public company again, he said: “That could be a
possibility.”
On the possibility of looking for new investors, he said
“perhaps”.
What about a trade sale, possibly to a large department store
operator such as John Lewis in the UK? “We haven’t even
discussed that yet.” He declined to be drawn on whether any
unsolicited approaches have been received.
Mr Schwartz said there was considerable value in the Arnotts
brand. “People don’t come here because
of the location or because we have other brands in the shop.
They are coming here because Arnotts stands for something.
“There’s a lot of value in the name itself and in the
heritage of the brands. That’s something we recognise.” Mr
Schwartz added that he had visited Arnotts several times on
visits to Ireland over the past 20 years. The American
executive, who also heads private equity firm Palladin Capital
Group, said sales had increased this year by “high single
digits” and the company would be “ebitda [earnings before
interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation] positive” this
year.
“We need to focus on rebuilding the [retail] business.”.
He said “some additional directors” would be appointed over
time.
The Irish Examiner reports that the global food giant, Kerry Group, confirmed yesterday
it had made a €33 million offer for Newmarket Co-op Creameries.
Kerry said it had offered to acquire the entire issued share capital
of the Co Cork co-op for €421 per share.
The deal, if approved, will be worth an average €39,000 to each of the
co-op’s 680 shareholders, most of them residing in the Duhallow region
of north-west Cork.
A person with 40 shares would receive €16,840 before tax, or a person
with 100 shares €42,100.
Approval by Newmarket shareholders and the Competition Authority will be
required.
An information meeting for shareholders will be held in Ballydesmond on
August 25, followed by a special general meeting in Meelin on September
2.
The offer is being presented to shareholders by Newmarket board without
a recommendation.
All the information will be placed before the Ballydesmond meeting with
Kerry Group representatives also attending to answer questions
Independent financial and accountancy company, Pricewaterhouse Coopers,
has advised the Newmarket board the Kerry offer represents fair value.
The offer would require a rule change to be voted on by Newmarket
shareholders if it is to proceed. Members will be asked at the special
general meeting to vote for or against a rule change. If a rule change
is approved, members will then decide on whether to accept the offer.
Newmarket is a leading manufacturer of cheese from a state-of-the-art
production facility and is a major supplier to Kerry’s branded cheese
business.
Newmarket has some 150 active milk suppliers and employs 110 people.
Newmarket co-op chairman Patrick McAuliffe and chief executive Michael
Cronin urged all members to participate in "this fundamental decision"
on the co-op’s future.
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executive officer and a former chief technology officer at Sun, once headed the
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Samuel Brittan: Thoughts on the troubles
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Renewed fears hit eurozone economies --
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fourth quarter won’t be supported by tourism revenues,” said Platon
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US jobless claims hit six-month high -
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changes to salary and working conditions.
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here.
Editor's
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