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German gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 2.2%
in the second quarter (Q2) of 2010 on the previous quarter after price and
seasonal adjustment. It was the greatest quarterly growth since reunification in
1990. At the same time, the result for the first quarter of 2010 was revised
substantially upwards, now showing a 0.5% increase. Hence the recovery of the
German economy, which lost momentum at the turn of 2009/2010, is really back on
track.
Destatis, the German federal statistics office, said when compared with a year
earlier, the gross domestic product increased considerably, too: The
price-adjusted
GDP was up by
4.1% in the second quarter of 2010 on the second quarter of 2009
(calendar-adjusted: +3.7%).
Destatis reported on Monday that seasonally adjusted imports grew by 1.9% month-on-month to a record
of €72.4bn in June. Exports expanded
by 3.8% but, over the past 12 months, the rate of import growth has
outpaced exports. Meanwhile, the German chamber of industry and commerce
predicted that, next year, imports would surpass the record level of €808bn
achieved in 2008.
In a quarter-on-quarter GDP comparison, both
domestic and foreign demand made a positive contribution to growth. The dynamic
trends observed in capital formation and foreign trade contributed most strongly
to the positive development. However, household and government final consumption
expenditure contributed to
GDP
growth, too.
The economic performance in the second quarter of 2010 was achieved by
40.3 million persons in employmen. That was an increase of 72,000 persons or
0.2% on a year earlier.
In addition to the first calculation of data for the second quarter, the results
published so far for the last four years (from 2006) were revised at the same
time, as is the case every year in August (revision of the seasonally and
calendar-adjusted results from 1991).
The current recalculation resulted in rates of change of the unadjusted annual
and quarterly
GDP figures
which differ from the previously published results by up to 0.4 percentage
points. The rates of change of the seasonally and calendar-adjusted results were
revised by up to 0.3 percentage points, too. In particular the
GDP change rates for the
individual quarters and the year 2008, for which results of annual basic
statistics became available for the first time, were in part substantially
revised downwards.
As regards the 2009 year of crisis, however, the
development was more favourable than indicated by the previously published
figures (see annexed table). The comparatively large revisions are attributable
to recently strong fluctuations in the short-term economic development, which
have made estimations at the most recent end of the time series more difficult.
Destatis says such continuous revisions are
carried out routinely to integrate newly available statistical information into
the calculations. Hence, the
GDP
calculation is successively put on an ever better founded statistical data
basis. The complete basic statistics required for a “final” calculation of
national accounting results are available after four years at the latest, so
that only then are the results final and do no longer have to be revised on a
regular basis.
The German economy accounts for about 30% of
Eurozone output.
On Thursday, it was reported that the Greek economy shrank by a further 1.5% in
the second quarter of the year, Greece's
statistics agency reported.
The economy had
declined 0.8% in the the first three months of 2010, suggesting
that the decline is accelerating.
Greece's GDP has fallen 3.5% since the same
period in 2009.
Greece's statistics agency Elstat said the
"significant reduction" in public spending had
contributed to the deepening of the country's
recession.
The EU/IMF rescue program for Greece assumes that
Greek GDP will dip 4% in 2010.