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President Barack Obama greets crew members from the Space Shuttle Atlantis and the International Space Station in the Oval Office, July 26, 2010.
Dr. Peter Morici: For President Obama and Speaker
Pelosi, the reckoning is near.
In hubris, they imposed a radical liberal agenda on an unwilling centrist
electorate. Now, the economic recovery is failing and voters are set to rebuke
Democrats in November. From electing Scott Brown in Massachusetts to vociferous
dissent at town meetings, Americans made it clear they did not want the
Democrats’ health care reforms.
Those create vast new entitlements, levy higher taxes, impose mandates on
businesses and state budgets, and increase demand for medical services and
drugs, without expanding the supply of health professionals or loosening the
monopoly grip of pharmaceutical companies. It imposes few meaningful cost
controls. As feared, businesses face runaway employee health insurance costs,
dramatically increasing their incentives to outsource more jobs to Asia.
The financial reform law creates employment for
liberal lawyers and community activists in the federal bureaucracy to write 500
new regulations and staff a new consumer watchdog that will duplicate reforms
for credit cards, bank accounts and consumer loans already being put in place by
the Federal Reserve.
The big banks are still too big to fail, controlling a larger share of the
nation’s deposits than before the crisis.
Restrictions on bank trading and derivatives miss the mark. Bad loans, not
trading, took down Citigroup and Bank of America, and few effective restrictions
or controls are imposed on mortgage-backed securities and similar financial
instruments that permitted giant banks to disguise lousing lending decisions
from unknowing investors.
The financial system is even more vulnerable to abuse and collapse than before.
The 8,000 regional banks remain cash starved, because the President failed to use
the TARP to create an analog to the Savings and Loan Crisis era Resolution Trust
to purge balance sheets of toxic real estate loans and mortgage backed
securities. Big Democratic contributors at Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan and other
New York financial houses are making too much money working out those financial
instruments, and the President acceded to their pleas for profits, against the
best interests of jobs creation.
Now, small and medium sized businesses that rely on regional banks for credit
can’t expand and add employees. For ordinary working families, credit is scarcer
and more expensive. Neither phenomenon is good for jobs creation.
Having failed to push a carbon tax through a voter wary Senate, the President is
intent on punishing energy use by executive fiat through the Environmental
Projection Agency.
The Council of Economic Advisors claims the $787 billion stimulus package saved
or created about three million jobs but the Administration head count of jobs
directly funded by the economic Recovery Act simply contracts the assumptions
behind this analysis.
A good deal of the money was wasted or delayed private hiring, exacerbating
unemployment. For example, subsidies to build windmills or green buildings
displace other investments in new generating capacity and commercial space but
don’t add to the kilowatts purchased and office space rented two and three years
from now. The economy gets the same investments—those just costs more and gets
postponed.
The President managed to make much temporary stimulus spending permanent,
creating trillion dollar deficits for many years to come and endangering the
federal government’s triple-A bond rating. Obama’s response is to increase
income and estate taxes, and Pelosi is floating a national sales tax. None of
those create jobs.
Signs abound that the economic recovery is faltering under the weight of statism.
Retails sales and new home construction are sinking, Obama’s inept Treasury and
housing bureaucrats can’t stem foreclosure for two million families this year,
and non-financial companies are sitting on nearly $2 trillion in cash reluctant
to invest and hire.
Now, the President’s Harvard bred, Wall Street fed, Washington dressed
economists tell Americans they must endure high unemployment and declining
incomes for most of this decade.
Maybe common folk who vote and earn a living in the real world know something
Ivy League professors living off endowment income and advising presidents can’t
fathom. Reckless, unproductive government spending, higher taxes and regulations
that accomplish little but to raise costs, kill investment, drive jobs offshore,
and destroy prosperity.
It simply is not in Obama and Pelosi’s DNA to believe ordinary people know
what’s good for them.
Thankfully, the first Democrats, Thomas Jefferson and James Madison, gave common
folk a remedy for the arrogance of aristocrats—elections every two years.
Economists and CEOs seem to
have much different outlooks on the economy, but who's right? William Cheney, of
John Hancock Financial, and Michael Moran, of Daiwa Securities, share their
views:
Peter
Morici,
Professor,
Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland,
Should we let the
Bush tax cuts expire in order to reduce the deficit? Daniel Mitchell, of the
CATO Institute, and Michael Linden, of the Center for American Progress, debate
the topic: