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President Obama signs the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Bill on Wednesday, July 21, 2010.
US Economy: Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress that the
economic outlook is "unusually uncertain," and he is prepared to take
further action to support the economy if the outlook deteriorates. However, he
indicated the Fed's reluctance to do so, given limited options available and
questions about the effectiveness of any new measures.
In his semiannual
testimony to the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday, Bernanke said the
Fed still expects the economy to show moderate growth this year despite a
"somewhat weaker outlook" that he attributed to financial market turmoil
mainly to the sovereign debt crisis in Europe. He said the economic
outlook remains unusually uncertain: "We will continue to carefully assess
ongoing financial and economic developments, and we remain prepared to take
further policy actions as needed to foster a return to full utilization of our
nation's productive potential in a context of price stability."
The Fed chairman didn't provide any specifics on
further measures the central bank could take and in
answering questions from senators, Bernanke outlined
three options for supporting the economy, if
necessary. The Fed could verbally emphasize its
commitment to keep short-term interest rates low for
a long time. It could lower the interest rate it
pays on reserves that banks store at the central
bank, to encourage more lending. And it could
reinvest proceeds from maturing or prepaid mortgage
securities, instead of letting them run off the
Fed's balance sheet, or make additional purchases.
“We do still have options, but they are not going to be
conventional options,” Bernanke said. However,
he cautioned he’s confident the Fed won’t have to go
down that road.
“Our main scenario” continues to project a
“moderate recovery,” and even with the risks created by
credit issues and high unemployment, a slide back into
recession is unlikely, he said.
Bernanke couldn’t tell the committee which moves the Fed
would choose, saying “we have not come to the point where we
can tell you precisely what the leading options are.” But
it’s important to note that he said that “we are not
prepared to take any specific steps in the near term.”
In his testimony, Bernanke said the economic expansion that began in the middle of last
year is proceeding at a moderate pace, supported by stimulative monetary and fiscal policies. Although
fiscal policy and inventory restocking will likely be
providing less impetus to the recovery than they have in
recent quarters, rising demand from households and
businesses should help sustain growth. In particular,
real consumer spending appears to have expanded at about
a 2-1/2 per cent annual rate in the first half of this
year, with purchases of durable goods increasing
especially rapidly. However, the housing market remains
weak, with the overhang of vacant or foreclosed houses
weighing on home prices and construction.
An important drag on household spending is the slow
recovery in the labour market and the attendant
uncertainty about job prospects.
Discussing why the markets
didn't like what they heard from the Fed chairman, with Jim Lacamp,
Macroportfolio Advisors; Andrew Busch, BMO Capital Markets Global; Sen. Judd
Gregg, (R-NH) and CNBC's Steve Liesman:
Also on Capitol Hill on Wednesday, the Senate voted 59 to 39 Wednesday to
restore emergency jobless benefits to millions of people who have been out of
work for more than six months.
The bill when signed by
President Obama will authorize states to provide
retroactive support to an estimated 2.5 million
people whose unemployment payments have been cut off
since federal benefits expired on June 2nd. It would
also make available up to 99 weeks of income support
through the end of November to millions more who
have exhausted state benefits, which typically last
for 26 weeks.
Two Republicans voted
for the measure and one Democrat, the
multi-millionaire Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska, voted
no.
Democrat Sen. Kent
Conrad said in an interview Wednesday that Congress
shouldn't allow taxes on the wealthy to rise until
the economy is on a sounder footing.
Nelson, who opposed the
extension of unemployment benefits to financially
desperate victims of the recession, because of the
impact on the budget deficit, also supports
extending expiring tax cuts proposed by President
George W. Bush in 2001.
CNBC's Steve Liesman has the details on whether the
President dissed the Treasury Secretary!!