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President Barack Obama and Personal Secretary Katie Johnson work in the Oval Office, July 6, 2010.
Dr. Peter Morici: President Obama’s record; In
mid-term elections, Democrats face a harsh reality. Politicians are known by
their deeds and judged by the results.
No president since Franklin Roosevelt inherited a bigger mess than Barack Obama,
and Democrats in Congress have given him most of what he wants - - the $787bn
stimulus package, including clean energy initiatives to create jobs; a free hand
with TARP money, and health care and financial regulatory reforms.
The Administration claims stimulus spending saved or created about three million
jobs but the actual head count at
www.recovery.gov is 682,370 through March 31st. Including the multiplier effects of workers spending
earnings in the private sector, the total impact is a bit more than one million
jobs. Many stimulus jobs were temporary but more jobs have been added since
March, so the total impact remains about 1.1 million temporary jobs, costing
taxpayers about $700,000 each - - not a good bargain!
The President promised health care reforms would
lower costs and permit Americans to keep their doctors. Now, large U.S.
companies have taken huge write offs for new obligations, and smaller companies
face escalating premiums. Many are preparing to push employees into cut-rate
health plans, further limiting choices of doctors and hospitals.
Drug prices are jumping, forcing health insurers to further limit access to the
best medicines.
Many businesses are reluctant to add employees, because higher health care costs
make it even more attractive to offshore production.
On Wall Street, the big banks are still too big to fail and control a larger
share of the nation’s deposits than before the crisis. Restrictions on risky
bank activities are so vague and far into the future, lobbyists will surely
neuter them. The risk oversight board relies on the same officials that failed
to foresee the dangers posed by mortgage-back securities, which caused the
recent meltdown, and the new consumer protection agency will oversee reforms the
Federal Reserve is already implementing.
Ordinary citizens beyond the confines of lower Manhattan don’t sense an economic
recovery. Stripping out inventory adjustments, GDP growth since July 2009 comes
to about $150 billion. In January, the Wall Street paid out $140 billion in
bonuses on $300 billion in new profits. The rest of the country has recovered
little.
The 8000 regional banks that finance small and medium-sized businesses are cash
starved, because the President did not use the TARP (Troubled Assets Rescue
Program - - a 2008 financial bailout scheme) to clean up their balance
sheets.
Wall Street giants like Goldman Sachs blocked efforts to create an analog to the
Savings and Loan Crisis era Resolution Trust, because it would cut into their
workout business. Now, small and medium sized businesses that rely on regional
banks for credit can’t add jobs.
Wall Street executives finance Democratic Party campaigns as generously as any
demographic group. Along with using TARP money to award generous chunks of GM
and Chrysler to the United Autoworkers, President Obama’s industrial policies
appear straight from Boss Tweed’s handbook on influence peddling.
Eighteen months in office, President Obama should be evaluated on what he
accomplished.
On the President’s watch, unemployment has jumped from 7.7 to 9.5 per cent, the
jobless count has increased 2.7 million, and 3.4 million more Americans have
quit looking for work altogether.
The economic recovery is flagging.
Retails sales are sinking, private jobs creation, after a brief jolt in the
first quarter, is tailing off, and big non-financial companies, sitting on
nearly $2 trillion in cash, lack confidence to invest or hire new workers.
President Obama is again blaming Republicans for blocking his agenda, but
Congress has given him his head.
From nationalizing GM and Chrysler to coddling Wall Street to placing 19 per
cent
of the economy that provides health care into an ineffective regulatory regime,
the President has opted for statism and with predictable results - - more
unemployment.
President Obama’s record speaks poorly for his vision for America, and Democrats
seeking reelection to Congress are likely to get a well deserved shellacking for
facilitating his agenda.
Peter Morici,
Professor, Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland,