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Growth of the global manufacturing
sector eased again in June. At 55.0, the JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI
(Purchasing Managers' Index) was down further from the near record high reached
in April. Although the rate of improvement eased to its weakest in the
year-to-date, it was still solid and above the series average.
Manufacturing production rose for
the thirteenth month in a row in June. The rate of growth remained marked, but
eased to its weakest since last November. The average reading for the Global
Manufacturing Output Index (59.1) during Q2 2010 was the highest since Q2 2004.
Despite easing sharply to a three-month low, growth of production in the US
remained rapid and above the global average. Rates of expansion also eased in
emerging Asia, Japan, the UK and Australia. Growth of output picked up slightly
in the Eurozone, but this followed a sharp slowdown in May.
Growth of new orders continued to
slow in June. The rate of expansion in new work received eased further from
April's near survey record pace to an eleven-month low, but was still above its
long-run average. National PMI New Orders indices fell in the US (eight-month
low), the Eurozone (weakest expansion in the year-to-date), Asia (one-year low)
and the UK (seven-month low), but in each case continued to signal expansion.
Growth of new export orders also
eased sharply to a six-month low in June. Rates of increase slowed in the
majority of the national manufacturing sectors covered by the survey.
June data pointed to a further
increase in manufacturing employment, reflecting growth of output and rising
backlogs of work. Staffing levels have increased in each month so far during the
year-to-date, with the latest rate of expansion in jobs slightly above the
average for that period. Employment continued to rise in all of the major
industrial regions covered by the survey.
Inflation of average input prices
eased sharply in June, with the latest data pointing to the weakest rate of
increase since last December. Cost inflation slowed across most of the national
manufacturing sectors covered by the survey. The extent of the easing was most
pronounced in the US and emerging Asia.
Upward pressure on purchase prices
remained closely linked to supply-chain forces in June. Areas experiencing the
sharpest increases in costs, such as Europe, also continued to report
substantial lengthening of vendor lead times. In the US and Asia, where costs
rose at much reduced rates, the deterioration in vendor performance tended to be
less pronounced.
Commenting on the survey,
David Hensley, Director of Global Economics Coordination at JPMorgan, said:
"June PMI data provided further evidence that growth of
the global manufacturing sector is cooling from the red hot rates seen earlier
in the year. However, while rates of expansion in production, new orders and
employment all eased over the month, growth remains solid overall and above
long-run trend. The sector therefore approaches Q3 on a firm footing, but
mounting headwinds could temper growth later in the year."
The Global Report on Manufacturing is compiled by financial data
firm, Markit, based
on the results of surveys covering over 7,500 purchasing executives in 29
countries.