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The
Bank for International Settlements,
known as the bank for central banks, which is based in Basel,
Switzerland, on Monday
issued a stern warning to central banks -- keeping rates low
for too long, and other actions like buying government
bonds, creates risks to financial stability and opens
central banks up to political pressure.
The warning,
contained in BIS’s annual report, came as Europe’s sovereign debt
crisis has pushed rate-increase forecasts for major central
banks including the Federal Reserve,
Bank of England and
European
Central Bank off until well into 2011.
The BIS
acknowledged that cutting rates to record lows “was
necessary to prevent the complete collapse of the financial
system.” It is not howevernow suggesting
immediate hikesbut is concerned that the Eurozone
debt problems may delay for too long a “necessary” return to normal
monetary policy. “Keeping interest rates very low comes at a cost
- - a cost
that is growing with time,” BIS said. “Experience teaches us
that prolonged periods of unusually low rates cloud
assessments of financial risks, induce a search for yield
and delay balance sheet adjustments,” BIS said.
At the Annual General
Meeting of the BIS, held today in Basel, Christian Noyer, BIS chairman
and governor of the Bank of France, said that
"over the past two years policymakers worldwide, acting in close
cooperation, have succeeded in containing the financial crisis".
He continued,
"The BIS has provided key support to the international cooperation of
central banks and supervisory authorities. The main task of the public
sector now is to design policies that minimise the risks of future
financial crises and promote sustainable growth. In this regard,
international cooperation will continue to be essential, and the
progress made by the Financial Stability Board and the Basel Committee
on Banking Supervision has been encouraging."
In its
80th
annual report, released Monday, BIS notes that the steps taken
by governments and central banks prevented a financial system meltdown
and helped bring to an end the great contraction in global economic
activity. The policy tasks that lie ahead, which are no less daunting
than they were a year ago.
The BIS General Manager
Jaime Caruana underlined three policy challenges:
"The first and most
immediate challenge is to make a convincing start on reducing budget
deficits in the advanced economies. Placing public debt on a
sustainable path must be accompanied by structural reforms to
enhance sustainable growth. At the same time, greater exchange rate
flexibility in some emerging market economies could improve the
prospects for more balanced global growth.
"The second challenge
is to foster the strengthening of balance sheets and necessary
behavioural changes in the financial industry. Official support was
intended to facilitate orderly adjustment. But if such support is
maintained for too long, it will create moral hazard, undermine
private sector financial intermediation and generate new, hidden
risks.
"The third challenge
is to finalise international agreements on financial regulation
reform. The Basel Committee and the Financial Stability Board are
well advanced in the design of concrete reforms. Systemic risk
awareness is to be embedded in all aspects of regulation and
supervision. In building a broader financial stability framework, we
must make sure that macroprudential and macroeconomic policies
complement and reinforce each other to limit the build-up of
financial vulnerabilities in a pre-emptive way.
"Early effective action
to meet these three challenges would strengthen confidence and help put
the financial crisis behind us.
"In today's fragile
economic and financial environment, international cooperation is vital
for rebuilding confidence. Supporting such cooperation is central to our
work at the BIS."
He welcomed some
recently announced policy measures. "Fiscal consolidation in several
countries, the plan to publish stress tests for European banks and the
support of the G-20 for the regulatory reform agenda are all important
steps forward," he said.