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Despite deep recession Ireland's high net worth population rose by over 10% in 2009; Globally wealth recovery almost offset 2008 losses
By Finfacts Team
Jun 23, 2010 - 4:06:06 AM
Despite the deep
recession, Ireland's high net worth population rose by over 10
per cent in 2009, with an additional 1,800 Irish people becoming
high net worth individuals (HNWIs), defined as those
having investable assets of $1m or more, excluding primary
residence, collectibles, consumables, and consumer durables.
Globally, wealth recovery almost offset 2008 losses.
While the number of
very wealthy people may be on the rise, overall Irish wealth values
remain at 2005 levels, according to the 14th annual
World Wealth Report, published by Merrill Lynch Global
Wealth Management and Capgemini on Tuesday. So in 2009,
when the
Irish economy contracted at a record level -- since
comparable records began in in 1951-- growth in the wealth
class expanded to 18,100 HNWIs and a further 18 new Irish
“ultra-HNWIs,” defined as those having investable assets of
$30m or more, excluding primary residence, collectibles,
consumables, and consumer durables as having investable assets
of $30m or more, brought the total ultras to 181.
At a global level, HNWIs regained
ground despite weakness in the world economy. The world's population of HNWIs
returned to 10m in 2009 and HNWI financial wealth increased, posting a gain of
18.9 per cent to $39trn. Ultra-HNWIs increased their wealth by 21.5 per cent in
2009. These figures indicate that emerging wealth recovery has nearly recouped
2008 losses, returning to levels last seen in 2007.
"The last few years have been
significant for wealthy investors. While in 2008 global HNWI wealth showed an
unprecedented decline, a year later we are already seeing distinct signs of
recovery, and in some areas a complete return to 2007 levels of wealth and
growth," said Sallie Krawcheck, president, Global Wealth and Investment
Management, Bank of America.
"The rebound has been, and
will continue to be, driven by emerging markets - - especially India and
China, as well as Brazil," said Bertrand Lavayssière,
managing director, Global Financial Services, Capgemini. "In
fact, Asia-Pacific was the only region in which both macroeconomic and market
drivers of wealth expanded significantly in 2009."
While the global HNWI recovery was
generally stronger in developing nations, most of the world's HNWI population
and wealth remained highly concentrated in the US, Japan and Germany, which
together accounted for 53.5 per cent of the world's HNWI population in 2009,
down slightly from 54 per cent in 2008. North America remains the single largest
home to HNWIs, with its 3.1m HNWIs accounting for 31 per cent of the global HNWI
population.
Asia-Pacific HNWIs, hit
especially hard in 2008, led recovery in 2009:
After falling 14.2 per cent in 2008 to 2.4m, Asia-Pacific's HNWI population
rebounded in 2009 to reach 3m, matching that of Europe's HNWI population for the
very first time. Asia-Pacific wealth also surged 30.9 per cent to $9.7trn, more
than erasing 2008 losses and surpassing the $9.5trn in wealth held by Europe's
HNWIs. This shift in rankings occurred because HNWI gains in Europe, while
sizeable, were far less than those in Asia-Pacific, which saw continued robust
growth in both economic and market drivers of wealth. Hong Kong and India led
growth in Asia-Pacific, after experiencing massive declines in their HNWI bases
and wealth in 2008.
Asia-Pacific and BRIC
will likely be the powerhouses of HNWI growth:BRIC nations (Brazil, Russia, India and China) are expected
to again be the drivers of HNWI growth for their respective regions in the
coming years. In Asia-Pacific, China and India will continue to lead the way,
with economic expansion and HNWI growth likely to keep outpacing more developed
economies. The report says Asia-Pacific HNWI growth is likely to be the fastest in the world as
a result. In Latin America, Brazil is similarly expected to remain an engine of
growth. Russia is expected to display strength due to its commodity-rich
resource base.
HNWIs Warily Returned to
Markets in 2009 in Cautious Pursuit of Returns:HNWI investors favoured predictable returns and cash flow, as
evidenced by the rise in HNWI allocations to fixed-income instruments, to 31 per
cent from 29 per cent. Equity holdings also rose, to 29 per cent from 25 per
cent, as the world's stock markets recovered. Cash holdings declined slightly.
HNWIs from Latin America and Japan remained the most conservative, with HWNIs in
each region holding 52 per cent of their aggregate portfolios in either
cash/deposits or fixed-income, despite surging equities prices.
The report says investments in residential real
estate regained some of its appeal in 2009 as HNWIs showed a preference for
tangible assets and sought to capture some bargains as real estate prices
slumped. Of all real estate assets, the share dedicated to residential real
estate rose to 48 per cent from 45 per cent as prices recovered across much of
the globe. Commercial real estate holdings, however, dipped slightly to 27 per
cent from 28 per cent as the sector experienced falling rental incomes, weak
demand and increased supply.
Geographical
diversification was evident in HNWI Asset shifts in 2009: The geographic distribution of HNWI assets also shifted in 2009
as HNWIs generally sought higher returns and greater geographic diversification
in their portfolios. Overall, HNWIs in all regions except Latin America
increased the relative share of holdings in markets outside their home regions
in 2009. This could be reflected by an increase in HNWI allocations to emerging
markets as investments flowed to regions and markets expected to have the most
growth in the coming years. This shift countered a widespread trend toward asset
repatriation to home regions during the crisis.
By 2011, HNWIs are expected to
further reduce investments in their home regions and look to those regions in
which growth is expected to be more robust. While HNWIs from the mature economic
regions of North America and Europe are expected to continue increasing their
allocations to Asia-Pacific in search of higher returns, HNWIs in Europe are
also likely to increase their North American holdings to inject stability into
their portfolios.
"These asset allocation
findings tell us that despite signs of recovery and growth, HNWIs' confidence
was shaken by the financial crisis and they are taking a more balanced approach
to investing and risk-taking, preferring more reliable and consistent returns,"
said Krawcheck. "To best serve the more cautious
investor, wealth management firms need to clearly identify and factor in
behavioral traits when providing specialized and independent advice, and for
effective portfolio and risk management over the long term."