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The US Conference Board Consumer
Confidence Index, which had increased moderately in November,
declined to a new all-time low in December - - the lowest level
since records began in 1967.
The Index now stands at 38.0
(1985=100), down from 44.7 in November. The Present Situation Index
plummeted to 29.4 from 42.3 last month. The Expectations Index
decreased to 43.8 from 46.2 in November.
The Consumer
Confidence Survey is based on a representative sample of 5,000 U.S.
households. The monthly survey is conducted for The Conference Board
by TNS. TNS is the world's largest custom research company. The
cutoff date for December's preliminary results was December 22nd.
Says
Lynn Franco, Director of the Conference Board Consumer Research
Center said today: "The further
erosion of the Consumer Confidence Index reflects the rapid and
steep deterioration of economic conditions that occurred in the
fourth quarter of 2008. The Present Situation Index is now close to
levels last seen in the months following the 1990-91 recession, but
is not as low as levels reached during the 1981-82 recession.
Declines in the Expectations Index appear to be moderating, but this
index continues to hover at historical lows. Both sub-indexes bear
careful watching over the next several months to see if they are
starting to show signs of approaching a bottom. In the meantime,
however, the overall economic outlook remains quite dismal for the
first half of 2009, and only a modest recovery is expected in the
second half."
Consumers' appraisal of current
conditions grew substantially worse in December. Those claiming
business conditions are "bad" increased to 46.0 percent from
40.6 percent, while those claiming business conditions are "good"
declined to 7.7 percent from 10.1 percent last month. Consumers'
assessment of the labor market was also considerably more negative
than a month ago. Those saying jobs are "hard to get" rose to 42.0
percent from 37.1 percent in November, while those claiming jobs are
"plentiful" decreased to 6.2 percent from 8.7 percent.
Consumers' short-term outlook was
only moderately more pessimistic. Those anticipating business
conditions to worsen over the next six months increased to 32.8
percent from 28.3 percent, while those expecting conditions to
improve rose to 13.4 percent from 11.5 percent. The outlook for the
labor market was also somewhat mixed. The percent of consumers
anticipating fewer jobs in the months ahead increased to 41.0
percent from 33.7 percent, while those expecting more jobs increased
to 9.7 percent from 9.2 percent. The proportion of consumers
anticipating an increase in their incomes decreased to 12.7 percent
from 13.1 percent.