The US Agriculture Secretary Ed Shafer said in Rome that the world needed to use genetically modified organisms as there was “no way” yields could be raised without GMO (Genetically Modified Organisms). European governments opposed the idea -Developing Countries led growth of biotech/GM agriculture in 2007.
Most well-fed Europeans, have no understanding of the challenges faced by agriculture in tropical countries, in particular from pests. Besides the health scare aspect, antipathy to GM is also powered by anti-multinational sentiment.
American Norman Borluag is credited with saving the lives of more people than anyone who has ever lived, as the father of the Green Revolution- Global Food Crisis: Malthus, Food Price Surge, Climate Change and a 42% rise in World Population by 2050
"Our planet has 6.5 billion people," the 94-year old Borlaug says. "If we use only organic fertilizers and methods on existing farmland, we can only feed 4 billion. I don't see 2.5 billion people volunteering to disappear."
To feed everyone with organic and traditional farming, we would have to plough millions of acres of forests and other wildlife habitat, he calculates. If, instead, we continue to use commercial fertilizer and hybrids, and have strong public support for both genetic engineering (GE) and traditional research,"the Earth can provide sufficient food for 10 billion people."
Monsanto, the bogeyman of the well-fed armchair opponents of GM in Europe and the leader in agricultural biotechnology, pledged Wednesday to develop seeds that would double the yields of corn, soybeans and cotton by 2030 and would require 30% less water, land and energy to grow.
Monsanto announced a three-point commitment to help increase global food production in the face of growing demand, limited natural resources and a changing climate. It pledged to work in new partnerships with other businesses, citizen groups and governments to meet one of the greatest challenges of the 21st century.
"Agriculture intersects the toughest challenges we all face on the planet," said Hugh Grant, chairman, president and chief executive officer of Monsanto, in announcing the commitment to help address the needs of a global population expected to reach nine billion people by 2050. "Together, we must meet the needs for increased food, fiber and energy while protecting the environment. In short, the world needs to produce more while conserving more."
"As an agricultural company focused on increasing crop yields, we will do our part,"he said. "But it will also require the efforts of a diverse group of organizations with many points of view to work together and take action to address the daunting challenges facing us all."
Monsanto says its three-point commitment to growing yields sustainably includes:
-- Develop better seeds - Monsanto will double yield in its three core crops of corn, soybeans and cotton by 2030, compared to a base year of 2000. The company will also establish a $10 million grant designed to accelerate breakthrough public sector research in wheat and rice yield.
-- Conserve resources - Monsanto will develop seeds that will reduce by one-third the amount of key resources required to grow crops by the year 2030. The company will also join with others to address habitat loss and water quality in agriculturally important areas.
-- Help improve farmers' lives - The company will help improve the lives of farmers, including an additional five million people in resource-poor farm families by 2020.
"We're undertaking this initiative after engaging many of our farmer customers, policymakers, scientists, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and experts in academia and industry. We asked them what agriculture must do to become more sustainable, and our commitment reflects how we will put their advice into action,"Grant said.
In discussing the challenges faced by agriculture, Grant noted that the world faces significant food price inflation for the first time in decades, driven largely by the demand for higher-protein diets in such countries as China and India and energy prices that have quadrupled over the past five years. Experts say it will be necessary to produce as much food between now and 2050 as has been produced in the last 10,000 years.As agriculture uses 70 percent of the world's fresh water and more than half of the habitable land, much of the production increase must come from increased crop yields.
Concern over climate change has also increased, with experts noting that the eight warmest years on record have all occurred in the last decade.
Grant said the quality of life for the world's one billion farmers is an important part of this equation. This includes both commercial farmers and the tens of millions of resource-poor farmers who survive on less than $2 per day.
Grant said Monsanto spends an average of more than $2 million a day on agricultural research. Yet he noted that partnerships with others are essential to developing and delivering approaches to these global challenges.
Examples of what Monsanto will undertake to achieve its three-point commitment include the following:
Develop better seeds
Monsanto's research program centers on increasing yields for three key crops used for food, feed, fiber and fuel - corn, soybeans and cotton. The company's research pipeline uses more precise breeding techniques to develop higher-yielding germplasm. Other technologies result in plant traits that provide better protection against pests and better weed control. Monsanto's objective under this new commitment is to double yield for these three crops by 2030 in countries where farmers have access to current and anticipated new seed choices offered by the company.
This would mean, for example, that corn production in the prominent agricultural markets of Argentina, Brazil and the United States would reach a weighted average of 220 bushels per acre by 2030, compared to 109.1 bushels per acre in 2000. Soybean production in those countries would rise from a weighted average of 39.5 bushels per acre in 2000 to 79 bushels per acre in 2030. Cotton would increase from 1.4 bales (672 pounds) per acre to 2.8 bales (1,344 pounds) per acre.
Monsanto will establish a five-year, $10 million grant for rice and wheat research to be administered by a panel of world experts on food production in developing countries. Rice and wheat are key crops for food security, but are not a primary focus for the company. The chairperson of this panel will be named in the near future. A panel of independent judges will select one project per year to receive a $2 million grant. Further details on this program will be developed and announced in the coming months.
Conserve resources
Monsanto's research pipeline includes new corn, soybeans and cotton products that will result in more production per unit of land, and reduced use of energy, fertilizer and water per unit produced. Monsanto will track the progress of its products toward the goal of reducing by one-third the cumulative amount of key resources like land, water and energy required per unit of output.
Monsanto will also undertake a series of partnerships that will address key environmental issues associated with agriculture.
Help improve farmers' lives
The third element in Monsanto's commitment is to improve the lives of farmers, including smallholder and resource-poor farmers. Part of this commitment is offering products that increase productivity and reduce the risks of farming, such as fewer inputs to manage insects, weeds and other yield-robbing stresses.
The availability of these new commercial products can help. In India, for example, the use of insect-protected cotton increased yields by more than 50 percent and profits to farmers by more than US$250 per hectare, according to third-party studies.
In special circumstances for resource-poor farmers, Monsanto also is committed to sharing its expertise in a way that gives them access to modern agricultural technology.
For example, one of the first of these projects was announced in March, a collaboration with the African Agricultural Technology Foundation (AATF), the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) and Monsanto to develop drought-tolerant maize for Africa that will be made available to farmers royalty-free.
The AATF is leading this project in which Monsanto and CIMMYT are donating unique germplasm and technology expertise. In addition, Monsanto is contributing breeding tools and the same water-use efficiency genes being developed for commercial global markets. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Howard G. Buffett Foundation are providing funding for product testing and development in Africa. Government researchers from Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and South Africa are also playing a key role in this public-private partnership called Water Efficient Maize for Africa (WEMA). Among other partnerships, Monsanto will also work with public institutions to develop products for non-commercial crops that are important in some world areas, including cassava, cowpea and papaya.
"These commitments represent the beginning of a journey that we will expand on and deepen in the years ahead. We will report on our progress as we engage our entire organization in this effort," Grant said.
Monsanto’s goal of doubling yields by 2030 over levels in 2000 might require a sharp acceleration in the rate by which agricultural productivity has been increasing. James E. Specht, a soybean genetics expert at the University of Nebraska, said. according to the New York Times, he doubted it could be done.
“The hype-to-reality ratio of that one is essentially infinity,” Specht said. “Seeing an exponential change in the yield curve is unlikely.”
Specht said that on irrigated farms in Nebraska, soybean yields have been increasing by about 0.6 bushels an acre every year. At that rate it would take 83 years for yields to double from the 50 bushels an acre recorded in 2000.
The Times says that Monsanto executives say that a new technique called marker-assisted selection could double the rate of gain made from breeding. That technique does not involve altering crops by putting in foreign genes. Rather it uses genetic tests to help choose which plants to use in conventional cross-breeding, vastly speeding up the process.
Monsanto executives say genetic engineering could provide additional increases in output beyond that. The company’s insect-resistant crops already help protect corn and cotton. And Monsanto scientists are working on genetically engineered crops that would grow better with less water and fertilizer.
Moreover, the company is not talking about the United States alone.In some countries, output could be increased sharply just by introducing modern hybrid corn, whether or not that corn is genetically engineered, Grant said.