The number on the Live Register plus public activation scheme numbers was unchanged in April from March 2015 - a fall in the Live Register numbers was offset by a rise in the activation numbers by 2,000 (the activation data is one month behind).
The broad jobless rate was 20% — Finfacts has two ways of arriving at the Irish broad rate a) as above, adding LR and activation schemes figures 2) using the standardised rate as detailed below and adding both the number of part-timers looking for full-time work and activation numbers. Using the latter calculation last week based on Quarterly National Household Survey data for the end of December 2014, we calculated a rate of 19%.
The standardised unemployment rate (SUR) in April 2015 was 10.0%, showing no change from March 2015. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate from the most recent Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS) was 10.4% in the fourth quarter of 2014.
On a seasonally adjusted basis the Live Register total recorded a monthly decrease of 1,800 (-0.5%) in April 2015, reducing the seasonally adjusted total to 349,500. In unadjusted terms there were 343,551 people signing on the Live Register in April 2015. This represents an annual decrease of 45,008 (-11.6%).
Other features include:
The number of long term claimants on the Live Register in April 2015 was 158,488. The number of male long term claimants decreased by 18,075 (-14.9%) in the year to April 2015, while females decreased by 1,662 (-2.9%), giving an overall annual decrease of 19,737 (-11.1%) in the number of long term claimants.
In April 2015, 53.9% (185,063) of all claimants on the Live Register were short term claimants. The comparable figure for April 2014 was 54.1% (210,334). The annual fall of 25,271 (-12.0%) in the number of short term claimants consisted of a decrease of 13,162 (-11.1%) in the number of male short term claimants and a decrease of 12,109 (-13.1%) in female short term claimants.
Live Register casual and part-time workers: There were 70,181 casual and part-time workers on the Live Register in April 2015, which represents 20.4% of the total Live Register. This compares with 20.2% one year earlier when there were 78,365 casual and part-time workers on the Live Register. In the year to April 2015 the number of casual and part-time workers decreased by 8,184 (-10.4%), with the number of males decreasing by 4,806 (-11.4%) and the number of females decreasing by 3,378 (-9.3%).
Conall Mac Coille, chief economist at Davy, commented: Today’s Live Register data show that the unemployment rate was 10.0% in April, unchanged from March (Figure 1). This is slightly disappointing. The monthly unemployment rate has declined in all but two months since the beginning of 2013. So we had expected a fall into single-digit territory in April. Recent PMI surveys for manufacturing and services have indicated that companies are adding jobs at close to the fastest pace on record. A fall in the unemployment rate below 10% therefore still looks likely to occur in the coming months.
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