The Irish Independent reports that
United Drug chief executive Liam Fitzgerald yesterday brushed aside suggestions
that the introduction this week by the HSE of reduced payments to pharmacies
that supply drugs under the community health scheme will have a negative impact
on the company.
Speaking following the group's AGM
in Dublin, Mr Fitzgerald said that he retained the view that the HSE's analysis
of wholesale drug prices in Ireland is inaccurate and at variance with the
reality.
The Irish Pharmaceutical Union has
claimed that up to 300 pharmacies may be at risk of closure if the HSE goes
ahead with its plan. United Drug said it's likely that the most vulnerable will
be pharmacies that have recently opened and where borrowing remain high, and
those in rural areas.
United Drug's wholesale
pharmaceutical business on the island of Ireland accounts for 40pc of the
company's group profit, but Mr Fitzgerald reiterated a forecast for double-digit
profit growth this financial year. Trading during January had continued to be
strong, said the firm, mirroring overall group performance for the first quarter
of the financial year.
However, should sterling weaken
further, revised guidance may be appropriate, suggested Mr Fitzgerald. About
one-third of United Drug's €1.58bn revenue last year was generated in the UK.
Potential
The company's earnings per share may
rise 11pc this fiscal year after rising 14pc last year, according to the median
of four analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
Chairman Ronnie Kells said that a
number of potential acquisitions are in the pipeline, and said that United Drug
is keen to expand its presence in the US market, where last year it paid up to
$10.5m to buy Pennsylvania-based Alliance Healthcare Information.
It operates a call centre that
handles drug queries from the public on behalf of manufacturers.
Mr Fitzgerald said that United Drug
could spend a total of €200m on acquisitions, and has no requirement to
undertake a rights issue.
He said that detractors who had once
questioned the company's ability to generate cash have been proved wrong.
The Irish Independent also reports that
Cork-headquartered recruitment firm Premier Group yesterday gatecrashed the sale
of London-listed peer Imprint with a £45.2m (€60m) indicative cash offer for the
company.
Bank of Ireland and Bank of Scotland
(Ireland) are believed to have been lined up to bankroll the potential bid,
which would more than double the size of Premier and ramp up its footprint in
the UK. IBI Corporate Finance, a unit of Bank of Ireland, is advising Premier.
Imprint, which owns prominent
British financial headhunters Morgan McKinley and ECHM, was founded earlier this
decade by Limerick man Brian Hamill and Dublin-based financier Pierce Casey.
They listed the company on London's Alternative Investment Market in 2001. It
went on to acquire Dublin-based recruiter Accreate in 2005 and, more recently,
expanded by acquisition into the Middle East.
Mr Hamill stepped down as chief
executive last October as the group issued its third profit warning of the year.
He still holds 6.4pc of the group.
The former boss subsequently mounted
a bid for the group's executive search division, consisting of the WoodHamill
and Imprint & Selection brands, which were acknowledged to be the problem
children within the group in 2007. Mr Hamill reached an agreement to buy the
businesses in November for £3.12m in cash.
The broader Imprint group, in the
meantime, has been stalked for months by two rivals, OPD Group and Hydrogen.
At the same time, Mr Casey, who
stepped down as chairman last April, increased his stake in the group to 3.7pc.
Imprint received competing bids from
OPD and Hydrogen late last year.
As neither declared its bid final,
the company's board and financial advisers, Altium, set up a competitive auction
earlier this month.
Hydrogen's renewed offer --
consisting of 96p in cash and 13.6p-worth of Hydrogen stock for every Imprint
share -- won the board's approval and was due to be voted on by shareholders at
an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) this Friday.
However, in response to Premier's
proposed 115p bid, Imprint said it will "actively consider" adjourning the EGM
to allow the Irish company some time to make a formal offer.
Shares in Imprint soared 7.6pc on
AIM yesterday to 113p.
The Irish Times reports that Ireland's largest food company, Kerry Group, will double in size over the
next five to six years, its new chief executive Stan McCarthy promised yesterday
as he announced a 35 per cent increase in pre-tax profits for 2007.
Kerry overcame soaring raw material and energy costs by passing on price
increases and improving its supply chain efficiency, resulting in record
earnings before tax and write-offs of €500 million.
Sales grew 6.7 per cent to €4.8 billion on a like-for-like basis (excluding
the impact of acquisitions, disposals and currency translation).
Mr McCarthy said Kerry would double revenues to €10 billion through a mix of
strong organic growth and acquisitions.
Kerry's global food ingredients and flavours business grew faster than its UK
and Ireland consumer foods operation.
Helped by a double-digit growth in the Asia-Pacific region, like-for-like
revenues in the ingredients division rose by 7.8 per cent to €3.3 billion, with
operating profit of €310 million up 7.6 per cent.
Consumer foods, which now only account for a third of its business, secured
sales growth of 5.6 per cent to €1.8 billion, with profit up 6.4 per cent at
€119 million, the results showed.
In the US, which accounts for 27 per cent of Kerry's revenues, Mr McCarthy
said there was encouraging demand for natural and healthy ingredients in the
ready-to-eat cereal and nutrition sectors.
While in Europe, both alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages are target growth
areas.
Kerry's activities in the manufacture of proteins for cell nutrition were
also "a rich vein of growth" in 2007, Davy Research noted.
Sales growth of 17 per cent in the Asia-Pacific region, which now accounts
for 9 per cent of the business, were "not an aberration", Mr McCarthy said.
The highlights for its consumer foods division included the Denny brand, with
Denny rashers outperforming its category, although sausage sales fell slightly.
The Dawn Benefits range of functional fruit juices increased its segment
share from 9.9 per cent to 19.2 per cent.
The expanding Freshways sandwich and snack brand took advantage of the
Republic's buoyant "food-to-go" market, while the Low Low brand reached the
number two position in cheese, behind Charleville, another Kerry-owned brand.
Mr McCarthy said Kerry's performance was "very credible" in a tough business
environment.
Analysts agreed, describing Kerry's preliminary statement of results as
"upbeat", "very solid" and "comfortable".
The Irish Times also reports that a new analysis of
business in the Republic has found a yawning gap between the productivity levels
of family-owned firms and that of their non-family-owned counterparts.
The analysis of Annual Services Inquiry 2005 data by the Central Statistics
Office (CSO) found labour productivity - measured by gross value added (GVA) per
worker - of non-family owned firms was more than twice that of their
family-owned rivals.
The gap was greatest between companies in the transport, storage and
communication sectors where non-family owned firms generated GVA of € 134,000
per person compared to € 48,000 per person for their family-owned rivals. In the
hotel and restaurant trade - where the gap was at its smallest -
non-family-owned firms produced GVA per person of € 28,000 compared to € 22,000
per person for family-owned peers.
The report uncovered willingness to adopt so-called information and
communication technology (ICT) - such as e-mail and having a website - as a
major distinguishing factor between family-owned and non-family-owned companies.
Higher levels of Irish ownership, lower levels of capital spending (family-owned
firms accounted for 33 per cent of spending compared to a 46 per cent share of
the total services sector) and a negligible share of overall service exports
also appeared to hold back family-owned firms when compared with their
non-family rivals.
However, research presented alongside the CSO study yesterday suggested
family-owned firms are catching up. "Family firms have increased productivity
growth rates in [ the] retail and wholesale sectors...there is evidence of some
closure of the productivity gap between 2004 and 2005," according to Mary
Keeling, managing consultant at the IBM Global Centre for Economic Development
Research.
The Irish Examiner reports that
the hit on Ireland from any world trade deal
negotiated by European Commissioner Peter Mandelson would be at least €2
billion.
Irish Farmers Association president Pádraig Walshe made the claim during a
lunchtime protest outside the European Commission offices in Dublin yesterday,
attended by an estimated 300 farmers.
In a statement, the commission said it is very much aware of Irish concerns in
relation to beef in the context of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) talks.
“We have a mandate to negotiate that has been
given to us by the 27 member states. The commission has reassured ministers time
and again that it will not go beyond that mandate.
“We continue to strive for a balanced deal, and the commission will not ask
member states to approve a deal that is not balanced.
“As of now, the chances of concluding the deal are far from certain. Others need
to make a much greater contribution towards concluding the deal than we have
seen so far,” it said.
Meanwhile, Mr Walshe told the protesting farmers that Mr Mandelson’s concessions
to the Brazilians and other South Americans on beef would wipe out the suckler
cow herd across Europe and in Ireland.
“The Irish beef and livestock sector has faced many challenges over the
years, but it was never in such a dangerous situation as it is facing over the
next three months.
“The WTO negotiations are in a perilous phase and if Mandelson is not stopped in
his tracks, all the indications are that he will concede even more to try and
pull together a deal,” he said.
Mr Walshe claimed that Mr Mandelson is working behind closed doors in Geneva in
a reckless destruction of the Common Agricultural Policy.
“He is prepared to sell out the beef industry in Ireland, to get a deal at
any cost. He is engaged in a race to the bottom, to the lowest standards of food
safety, animal welfare and the environment.
“The only winners in his agenda are the multinationals, commodity traders and
corporate ranchers,” said Mr Walshe.
He said the IFA’s assessment is that the situation is now so critical that
Ireland must declare a vital national interest to stop the sellout. The only
option open to the Government is to use the veto, the IFA president added.
Pointing out that the IFA has been to the forefront in supporting the
development and integration of the EU over the past 35 years, he said his
personal wish and that of the leadership is to maintain its positive position on
Europe.
“However, it would be unrealistic to expect the farming community and rural
people to vote for the Lisbon Treaty when Mandelson is planning the destruction
of the Irish and European family farm structure,” he said.
The Financial Times reports that German business confidence has risen unexpectedly, strengthening the
European Central Bank’s argument that global financial turmoil might have no
“sizable” impact on the eurozone economy.
The increase in Germany’s Ifo
business climate index for February, powered largely by an improvement in
retailers’ confidence, was the latest evidence suggesting no dramatic
collapse in growth is imminent across the 15-country eurozone.
Continuing robust eurozone growth would make a reduction in interest
rates a still more distant prospect – in spite of the recent emergency cuts
by the US Federal Reserve.
Lucas Papademos, the ECB’s vice-president, hinted on Tuesday in New York
that the central bank was likely next month to revise upwards its inflation
forecast, amid fears about the outlook for food and fuel prices.
By contrast, Don Kohn, the Fed’s vice-chairman, on Tuesday indicated that
he remained open to cutting US interest rates further, even though he
admitted that high energy and food prices may be passing through to core
inflation.
With combating inflation the ECB’s top priority, a higher forecast rate
would reduce further the scope for cutting borrowing costs. An expected
decline in eurozone inflation – which hit a 14-year high of 3.2 per cent in
January – would occur “more slowly than previously envisaged”, Mr Papademos
warned. The ECB aims to keep inflation “below but close” to 2 per cent. It
has left its main interest rate unchanged at 4 per cent since June.
Mr Papademos said the impact of the financial market turmoil on economic
activity remained hard to assess, but the latest information suggested
“that
it is not likely to be sizeable”.
The FT also reports that buy-to-let landlords are showing few signs of cutting back borrowing in the
face of tighter credit conditions, judging by figures showing the sector
increased its share of the overall mortgage market in the fourth quarter of
2007.
The Council for Mortgage Lenders said on Tuesday that buy-to-let
lending totalled £11.6bn on gross advances number 84,800 in the last three
months of the year, slowing from 94,300 advances totalling £12.5bn in the
previous quarter.
At the end of 2007, lenders on average required landlords to put down a
deposit of at least 15 per cent of the property’s value, with rental income
amounting to 120 per cent of the mortgage payment, the CML said.
However, tighter credit conditions appear to be affecting buy-to-let
investors less than the wider mortgage market – despite fears that those
with highly geared investments could pull out of the market in droves.
Instead, the proportion of loans granted to buy-to-let landlords has
increased steadily. The CML’s figures showed that the buy-to-let sector now
accounts for 10.3 per cent of outstanding mortgages and attracted 13.3 per
cent of gross advances by value last quarter, up from 12.7 per cent in the
previous quarter.
“Tenant demand for private rented property remains strong,” said Michael Coogan, the CML’s director general. Although many buy-to-let mortgages were
linked to interbank rates, so that repayments rose sharply in line with
Libor in the summer and autumn, these would now be returning to lower
levels, he added.
The CML also said levels of arrears and reposessions were lower in the
buy-to-let sector. In the wider market, 1.1 per cent of mortgage borrowers
were in arrears at the end of 2007, compared with 0.73 per cent of
buy-to-let loans.
The New York Times reports that houses are getting cheaper by the month. Everything else is becoming more
expensive.
Several economic reports released on Tuesday provided fresh evidence that the
economic pain of a prolonged slump in housing is being compounded by the rising
cost of oil, food, clothes and other goods. Not surprisingly, a measure of
consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in nearly five years.
In addition to squeezing American homeowners, the confluence of falling home
prices and accelerating inflation is putting policy makers in an increasingly
tough position. If they move aggressively to cut interest rates and stimulate
the economy, they risk fueling inflation further at a time consumers are already
strained. But if they fail to act boldly, the economy could weaken faster.
“The Fed is now having to walk a very fine line,” said Jane Caron,
chief economic strategist at Dwight Asset Management, an investment firm that
specializes in bonds. “We have clearly seen an acceleration in inflation
pressure in the last couple of months and the risk is that the markets are going
to react negatively to aggressive easing going forward.”
Nonetheless, the stock market rebounded from an early decline on Tuesday to
close up for the day. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index rose 0.7 percent, to
1,381.29, and the Dow Jones industrial average was up 114.70 points, or 0.9
percent, to 12,684.92.
Energy and technology stocks led the market higher after oil prices surged
above $100 again and
I.B.M. announced that it would buy back $15 billion of its stock and raised
its profit forecast.
In the bond market, investors snapped up inflation-protected Treasuries,
indicating that they were worried about higher prices. The yield on the 10-year
inflation-protected note, which moves in the opposite direction of its price,
dropped to 1.407 percent from 1.507.
The dollar fell to $1.4967 against the euro, its lowest level since that
currency was created. It was also trading near long-term lows against other
major world currencies like the Canadian and Australian dollars.
A widely followed index of home prices in 20 metropolitan areas fell by 9.1
percent in December from the month a year ago. Using a three-month moving
average, the index, the Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller, is falling at an annual
pace of more than 20 percent. The index tracks repeat sales of single-family
homes; it does not include condominiums.
Another index of home prices that covers more of the country but does not
track loans above $417,000 fell 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter from the
period in 2006. The index, compiled by the
Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, showed prices declining in
all states, except Maine.
The Labor Department reported that wholesale prices, which exclude taxes and
distribution costs, rose 1 percent in January, in contrast to a drop of 0.3
percent in December 2007. Compared with a year ago, prices were up 7.4 percent.
Excluding food and energy prices, which are more volatile from month to month,
the index increased 2.3 percent from a year ago, up from 2 percent in December.
The latest inflation report appears to corroborate a broader trend of higher
prices.
Last week, the Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index rose
4.3 percent last month from a year ago, compared with a 4.1 percent increase in
December. The core rate of inflation — which excludes food and energy — was 2.5
percent, up from 2.4 percent. The Fed’s target for inflation is 1 percent to 2
percent.
“The pressures are too great here,” said Seth B. Plunkett, a bond
portfolio manager at American Century Investments, a mutual fund company.
“Look at the things that are accelerating: food and energy. What is
decelerating? It’s electronics and light trucks. These are not things that
people buy every day.”
The drumbeat of negative economic data appears to be taking a toll on
consumers — at least in the way they perceive the economy, if not in how they
spend.
The Conference Board reported on Tuesday that its consumer confidence index
fell to a reading of 75 this month, from 87.9 last month. The index was last at
this level in early 2003, at the start of the war in Iraq and a time when the
economy was growing but the unemployment rate was hovering just below 6 percent.
By contrast, the unemployment rate was 4.9 percent in January.
“The reality is that the consumer is the driver for the U.S. economy,”
said Edward E. Leamer, an economist at the University of California, Los
Angeles. “Consumers are overspent and heavy in debt.”
The Fed cut its benchmark interest rate to 3 percent, from 5.25 percent in
September, in an effort to offset the drag from the housing market on the
broader economy. Its efforts have helped reduce some strains in the financial
markets but they have been less successful in lowering borrowing costs and
easing lending standards for businesses and consumers.
On Tuesday, the vice chairman of the Fed, Donald L. Kohn, said in a speech
that at least some of the increase in borrowing costs was “a healthy
correction to previous excesses.” He also asserted that the problems in
housing and the financial system pose a greater threat to the economy than
inflation.
“In my view, the adverse dynamics of the financial markets and the economy
have presented the greater threat to economic welfare in the United States,”
he said, according to his prepared remarks.
In the last several weeks, mortgage interest rates have risen sharply as bond
investors have grown more risk-averse. The national average interest rate on a
30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 6.04 percent last week, according to
Freddie Mac, from a low of 5.48 percent in mid-January when the Fed cut
rates in between its regular meetings.
“The phone was ringing off the hook, everyone wanted to shop mortgages and
rates,” D. Ritch Workman, president of the Florida Mortgage Brokers
Association, said about the low rates. “By the time they got around to
picking a lender it was too late and those rates were gone.”
Economists say home prices will remain under pressure for much of the next
year or longer because the supply of homes for sale remains high. It has also
become harder for home buyers to get mortgages as rates have risen and banks
have become more conservative in demanding bigger down payments than they did
during the housing boom.
In many parts of the country, specialists note that home prices remain too
high based on affordability calculations made using incomes and interest rates.
A recent report by analysts at
Credit Suisse, the investment bank, said that prices in some metropolitan
areas like Phoenix, Miami and Los Angeles would have to decline by 20 percent to
40 percent from their current levels for home affordability to be restored to
its long-established level.
Mr. Leamer noted there was a silver lining to the steeper drop in home prices
at the end of last year: it will eventually allow people who are currently
renting to buy properties and help clear out the large number of homes that are
on sale now.
“The question is, Are you going to get the bad news week after week for 10
years?” he asked. “Or are you going to get the bad news right this year
and then you’ll learn to live with the reality that your home is not worth what
it was?”
The NYT also reports that following the lead of Germany and Britain, at least eight other countries,
including the United States, said Tuesday that they were investigating whether
some of their citizens were using banks in Liechtenstein to evade taxes.
The countries involved in the investigations also threw their combined weight
behind efforts to change banking secrecy rules in Liechtenstein, a principality
nestled between Austria and Switzerland that has a thriving business in managing
outsiders’ money.
German prosecutors, aided by stolen bank records, began their crackdown
nearly two weeks ago, when the police searched the home of a prominent German
executive.
Since then, 91 of the 150 people being investigated so far have confessed to
evading taxes, the prosecutors said, and 72 people have turned themselves in
without a visit from the authorities.
Targets in the inquiry have already paid 27.8 million euros, or $41.5
million, to begin settling their cases, and German prosecutors made clear
Tuesday that they expected to collect much more before their investigation is
over.
“At the moment, this sum is rising daily,”
one prosecutor, Hans-Ulrich
Krück, said in a brief statement in Bochum, Germany. “We have already been
notified of more voluntary payments.”
The investigation goes back to 2006, when German intelligence services paid
nearly 5 million euros for confidential banking data to an informant, apparently
a former employee of the LGT Group, a Liechtenstein bank.
Later, the British authorities paid money to the same person for data on
British subjects who had sheltered money in Liechtenstein, and they are
investigating about 100 people in Britain, according to an official close to the
inquiry who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the case was continuing.
Australia, Canada, France, Italy, the Netherlands, New Zealand and Sweden are
also looking into tax evasion by their citizens in Liechtenstein, according to
statements from Britain and other countries.
The
Internal Revenue Service said Tuesday that it was beginning enforcement
action against “more than 100 U.S. taxpayers” on suspicion of evading
taxes through investments in Liechtenstein. The I.R.S. was approached last year
by an informant with data from the LGT Group, said Barry Shott, deputy
commissioner for international affairs in the agency’s large and medium-size
business division.
“We get information from a lot of people in a lot of different ways all
the time,” said Mr. Shott, who did not identify the informant.
“We came
into possession of the information and it seemed to be interesting.”
He stressed that the United States did not pay for the information upfront.
But he noted that under federal law, a person who gives the I.R.S. useful
information can file a claim to receive a percentage of the money that is
collected based on the data.
Audits in the United States have gotten under way, and the I.R.S. is already
experiencing “a range of cooperation” with the taxpayers involved, Mr.
Shott said. He stressed that the I.R.S. would look favorably on people who
report themselves, but that the agency would go to them if necessary.
“We know who they are,” he said.
Other countries have long sought to pressure Liechtenstein to adopt rules of
the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development aimed at curbing tax
evasion. The organization, based in Paris, has called Liechtenstein, Monaco and
Andorra “uncooperative tax havens.”
Dave Hartnett, acting chairman of Revenue and Customs, the British tax
agency, said in a statement, “In the light of recent developments involving
Liechtenstein bank accounts, there needs to be a significant move toward full
implementation of O.E.C.D. standards on transparency and effective exchange of
information in tax matters.”
Peer Steinbrück, the German finance minister, said last weekend that Germany
would also push for change in other countries, including Switzerland, Luxembourg
and Austria.
Those countries have agreed to limited efforts directed by the
European Union to provide account information or tax revenue, and Germany is
pressing for further action. Germany plans to raise the issue at a meeting of
finance ministers from the 27-nation European Union next week, and with Prince
Albert II of Monaco, who is visiting Berlin this week.
“Liechtenstein is the tip of the iceberg,” said Grace Perez-Navarro,
deputy director of the Center for Tax Policy and Administration at the O.E.C.D.
“They are interested in seeing change in other places, too.”
Fears that Germany and other countries might mount a sustained effort to curb
investments in Switzerland have prompted sharp reactions in that country, a
well-known destination for money from around the world.
Michel Y. Dérobert, head of the Swiss Private Bankers Association, said that
disclosures that Germany’s spy agency was involved in obtaining data on its
citizens from abroad sat uneasily with his members.
“I think this type of episode will discourage German-speaking banks from
hiring Germans,” Mr. Dérobert told the newspaper Le Matin in Switzerland.
“That would be logical, although until now we have had good relations with
Germany.”
The Munich newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung reported Tuesday that German
prosecutors had trained their sights on Vontobel Treuhand, the Liechtenstein
subsidiary of the prominent Swiss bank Vontobel.
The prosecutors in Bochum confirmed Tuesday that they believed “a second
foreign bank” — in addition to LGT — had helped Germans evade taxes, but did
not identify it.
Vontobel said Tuesday that no client data from its Liechtenstein affiliate
had been “obtained unlawfully or used for improper purposes.”
LGT, which is owned by the royal family of Liechtenstein, said Sunday that
the data obtained by the German authorities covered 1,400 clients, 600 of whom
are German citizens.
The information is thought to have been taken by a former employee, Heinrich
Kieber, who offered it to at least two European countries, Germany and Britain.
The data was from LGT Treuhand, a subsidiary of the bank that specializes in
setting up foundations, where money can be sheltered and then invested without
reporting capital gains to governments outside Liechtenstein. German prosecutors
said Tuesday their investigation involved more than 200 million euros that had
been put in such foundations.
After Germany and Britain obtained their data, authorities began sharing it,
according to another official close to the investigation, since a network of tax
treaties foresees just such a step. Torsten Albig, a spokesman for the German
Finance Ministry, said Monday that Germany would share the information, and the
Dutch finance minister, Wouter Bos, said he had already requested it from the
Germans.
Éric Woerth, the French budget minister, said France was scouring a list of
hundreds of names.