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29
Sep
2015

Gabriel Zucman, one of 3 French economists who in recent times have published extensive research on wealth and equality, in a book, 'The Hidden Wealth of Nations: The Scourge of Tax Havens,' published this month, estimates that 8% of the world's financial wealth — some US$7.6tn — is hidden in tax havens such as Switzerland, Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Singapore, Luxembourg and Ireland. Oxfam in a report published last January said that in 2013 the number of billionaires holding the same amount of wealth as the bottom 50% of the global population of 7bn was at 92.

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29
Sep
2015

Exchange rate movements still have sizable effects on exports and imports, according to new research from the International Monetary Fund. Recent currency movements have been unusually large. The US dollar is up more than 10% in real effective terms since mid-2014. The yen is down more than 30% since mid-2012 and the euro by more than 10% since early 2014. Brazil, China, and India have also seen unusually large changes in their currency values.

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28
Sep
2015
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2015
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2015
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Sep
2015
17
Sep
2015

The BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for September shows that the summer anomaly of high cash levels and high macro optimism has been corrected via sharp declines this month in global growth expectations (lowest since July 2012) and equity allocations (lowest since Sept 2012). "Unambiguous pessimism means risk assets riper for a rally (note investors don't want a Fed hike today). If no rally, then markets ominously hinting 'recession' and/or 'default' imminent."

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17
Sep
2015

The OECD has cut its economic growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016, warning of a dramatic slowdown in Brazil and a global outlook clouded by risks in China. It also called on the US Federal Reserve not to raise its benchmark rate at its policy meeting today. A rise would the the first since 2006.

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14
Sep
2015

Robert Shiller, Nobel prize-winning economist and a professor of economics at Yale University, is best known for the Shiller P/E (price/earnings) multiple, which has produced accurate valuations of the US stock market. In recent years it has grown controversial.

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11
Sep
2015

While recent volatility in financial markets has unsettled the global economy, the world should have confidence in China's future, Li Keqiang, Chinese premier, on Thursday told participants in the opening plenary of the World Economic Forum's ninth Annual Meeting of the New Champions. The premier said the government was committed to the "painful and treacherous" process of transforming its economic model from one that was over-reliant on investment and manufacturing to one driven more by consumption and services.

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